Colchester vs Cheltenham Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two clash down at Colchester. The U's are flying at the moment, sitting pretty in 13th and playing some proper decent stuff. Seven wins in their last ten games - that's not bad going, is it? They've been banging in the goals too, averaging 2.2 per game.

What's really caught my eye is their recent form on the road. They've gone and beaten Walsall (top of the league!) 2-0 and then smashed Notts County 3-1 away from home. That's proper quality against the best teams in this division. At home, they're scoring for fun with 2.5 goals per game, though they do let a few in at the back (1.5 per game at home).

Cheltenham, well, they're having a right old time of it down in 21st. Only 17 points from 17 games tells its own story, doesn't it? They did beat Walsall 1-0 at home recently, which was a decent result, but away from home they've been a bit hit and miss. Only one win in their last three away trips doesn't fill you with confidence.

The head-to-head might make you think twice - Colchester have only won 25% of their home games against Cheltenham historically. But form over history, I say. And right now, there's only one team in form.

Colchester are firing on all cylinders going forward - 18 shots per game at home with 7 on target. Cheltenham away? Only 11 shots and 3 on target. That's a big difference in attacking intent.

The odds have Colchester at 1.48 for the win, which seems about right to me. They're scoring plenty, Cheltenham are struggling, and home advantage should count for plenty here.