Cremonese vs AS Roma Prediction

Roma To Continue Title Push

Preview

Alright folks, let's get down to business! This one looks pretty straightforward on paper, but that's why we play the games, eh? Cremonese sitting mid-table with 14 points while Roma is flying high in second spot with 24 points - that's a proper gap in quality right there.

Looking at recent form, Cremonese has been a bit of a mixed bag. They've had some brilliant results like that 2-1 win away at AC Milan and the 2-0 victory at Genoa, but they've also had some shockers like losing 1-0 to struggling Pisa. Their home form is very draw-heavy too - 60% of their home games end up level, which isn't great when you're trying to climb the table.

Now Roma, these boys are serious business. Their recent form is very binary - either they win or they lose, no draws whatsoever! What's really impressive is their away form - 75% win rate on the road, which is proper quality. They've been solid defensively lately too, keeping clean sheets against Udinese and Rangers.

The stats tell a clear story - Roma dominates possession (58.7% vs 45.1%), takes nearly double the shots (15.3 vs 8.3), and their defense is much tighter (0.7 vs 1.3 goals conceded per game). Sure, Cremonese has a 100% home record against Roma historically, but that's only from one match and Roma last beat them 2-1.

With Roma flying high and looking to push for the title, and Cremonese being inconsistent at best, I'm backing the visitors here. Roma's defensive solidity and excellent away form should be enough to get the job done.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.62
+EV
+5.3%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN