SKN ST. Polten vs Austria Lustenau Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this top-of-the-table clash in the Austrian 2. Liga. SKN ST. Polten are absolutely running away with it at the moment - sitting pretty at the top with 25 points from 9 games. They've lost zero matches this season, winning 8 and drawing just 1. That's proper title form, that is.

Austria Lustenau aren't mugs though - they're sitting in 3rd with 16 points, but they're already 9 points behind today's hosts. The gap in quality and form looks massive when you dig into the recent results.

SKN have been banging them in for fun lately. They've put 4 past Sturm Graz II, 3 past Stripfing, and another 4 past Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz. At home, they're absolutely lethal - 100% win rate in their last 4 home games and averaging 3.25 goals per game on their own patch. That's some serious firepower.

Austria Lustenau have been a bit more hit and miss. They've got some decent results - a 3-2 win over Austria Vienna's amateurs and a 1-1 draw with Admira Wacker - but they've also had some shockers like that 3-1 loss to SV Kapfenberg. Away from home, they've only won 1 of their last 4, which doesn't bode well against this SKN side.

The head-to-head's been pretty tight over the years - SKN just edge it 4-3 in wins - but SKN won the last meeting 1-0. More importantly, current form counts for everything, and right now SKN look like they're playing on a different planet.

When you've got a team scoring 3.25 goals per game at home against a side that's only winning 25% of their away matches, the maths starts looking pretty straightforward. SKN are conceding less than a goal per game too, so they're solid at the back.

The odds of 1.91 for a home win aren't exactly generous, but given the gulf in form and SKN's home dominance, it still looks like the smart money. Sometimes you've got to back the form horse, even if the price isn't massive.

Key Points:

• SKN ST. Polten top of the table with 8 wins from 9 games

• 100% home win rate this season, scoring 3.25 goals per game at home

• Austria Lustenau only 25% away win rate in recent away games

• SKN scoring 2.5 goals per game overall, conceding just 0.9

• 9-point gap between these teams in the league table

• SKN won the last head-to-head meeting 1-0