Charlton vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one down The Valley. Charlton are plodding along nicely in mid-table, while Sheffield Wednesday are having an absolute shocker - second bottom and barely able to hit a barn door at the moment.

The Addicks have been decent enough at home this season, banging in 1.75 goals per game on their own patch. They put three past Blackburn not too long ago and kept a clean sheet in that one. Their form's been a bit up and down mind you - got turned over 2-0 at Preston in their last outing, but before that they were grinding out results.

Wednesday, on the other hand, are in a right old mess. They've managed just one win all season and recently got absolutely spanked 5-0 at home by Coventry. The worrying thing for their fans is they've failed to score in four of their last five matches! Four! That's Championship football, not park stuff on a Sunday morning.

Now, I know what you're thinking - Wednesday have a decent record against Charlton historically, winning six of the nine meetings. But form over history, mate. Wednesday can't buy a goal at the moment, while Charlton are solid enough at home.

The stats back this up - Wednesday are conceding two goals a game and scoring less than one. Charlton are averaging 1.1 goals for and 1.2 against. When you look at Wednesday's recent results, they're struggling against everyone, not just the top teams.

Charlton's home form shows they can score goals, and Wednesday's away form, while showing 2 goals per game scored, is massively misleading given their recent struggles in front of goal.

Key Points:

• Wednesday haven't scored in 4 of their last 5 games

• Charlton have won 50% of their home games this season

• Wednesday are second bottom with just 6 points from 9 games

• The Owls recently shipped 5 goals at home to Coventry

• Charlton kept a clean sheet in their last home win (3-0 vs Blackburn)

The bookies have Charlton at 1.67, which seems about right to me. Given Wednesday's terrible form and inability to score, I'm backing the Addicks to take all three points here. Sometimes the simple bet is the best bet, and this looks straightforward - home win against a team that can't score.