Eibar vs Zaragoza Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Segunda División clash between Eibar and the struggling Zaragoza. The lads from Eibar are sitting mid-table in 14th with 17 points, while Zaragoza are propping up the entire division in 22nd with a measly 9 points. That's a proper gap between these two sides.

Now, here's where it gets interesting for us punters. Eibar have been absolutely solid at home this season - unbeaten in their last 5 home games with 2 wins and 3 draws. They've kept it tight at the back too, only letting in 0.8 goals per game on their own patch. Recent home results show they're no pushovers: drew 0-0 with Leganes, drew 1-1 with Deportivo La Coruna, and beat Real Sociedad II 2-1.

Zaragoza, on the other hand, are having an absolute nightmare away from home. They've lost 67% of their last 6 away games and can barely buy a goal on the road - just 0.83 per game away from home. Looking at their recent away form, they've been shut out 0-2 by Deportivo, 0-1 by Sporting Gijon, and 0-5 by Cultural Leonesa. Ouch!

The head-to-head record heavily favours Eibar too, especially at home where they've won 3 out of 4 meetings. While the last encounter ended 2-2, historically Eibar dominate this fixture on their own turf.

What really catches my eye is the Both Teams to Score market. Eibar have both teams score in 70% of their games, but Zaragoza only see both teams score in 20% of theirs. With Zaragoza's away scoring struggles and Eibar's decent home defence, I'm thinking both teams might not find the net here.

The goal expectancy suggests a low-scoring affair too - 1.27 for Eibar and just 0.82 for Zaragoza. That points towards a tight, possibly one-sided game where Eibar edge it without conceding.

Key Points:

• Eibar unbeaten in last 5 home games (2W-3D-0L)

• Zaragoza have lost 67% of last 6 away games

• Zaragoza score just 0.83 goals per game away from home

• Eibar have 75% home win rate vs Zaragoza historically

• BTTS No looks value given Zaragoza's away scoring issues

Given the form, the head-to-head, and Zaragoza's terrible away record, I'm backing both teams NOT to score in this one. Eibar should have enough to edge it, but I don't see Zaragoza troubling the scoresheet on their travels.