Emmen vs Jong Ajax Prediction

Alright, listen up! Monday night we've got a proper Dutch second-tier scrap as Emmen welcome Jong Ajax to town. Now, if you're looking for a tight, cagey affair, you might want to look elsewhere, because these two have got "goals" written all over them.

Emmen are sat down in 17th place, and frankly, their recent form's been a bit ropey - just two wins from their last ten, including a 2-3 home defeat to Jong PSV last time out. But here's the thing: when it comes to playing Jong Ajax, Emmen absolutely own this fixture. We're talking six wins from nine meetings overall, and crucially, they've won all three home games against this lot. We're talking 4-2s, 3-3s, proper goal-fests.

Jong Ajax, meanwhile, are propping up the table in 20th spot with only 22 points on the board. But don't be fooled - they've actually shown a bit of fight lately, picking up four wins from their last ten, including a cracking 1-0 away win at Dordrecht just last week. They're not rolling over anymore.

The numbers tell you everything you need to know. Emmen have kept zero clean sheets in their last ten games - not one! They've conceded 20 goals in that run, including four against FC Oss and four against Almere City. But at the other end, they're dangerous at home, averaging 2.75 goals per game in front of their own fans.

Jong Ajax away from home? They concede two goals a game on average, but they do find the net themselves - scoring in seven of their last ten outings.

When you've got one side that can't stop conceding and another that can find the net but leaks goals like a sieve, you know what to do. Both teams have scored in six of the last nine meetings between these two, and with the defensive records we're looking at, I'd be shocked if both don't find the net again here.

Key Points:

• Emmen have won all three home meetings against Jong Ajax, scoring 11 goals in the process

• Emmen have conceded in all of their last 10 matches (20 goals total) - zero clean sheets

• Jong Ajax have won 4 of their last 10 games, showing improved form despite being bottom of the table

• Both Teams to Score has landed in 6 of the last 9 H2H meetings

• Emmen average 2.75 goals scored per home game, but concede 1.75

The Verdict:

The home win at 1.53 looks skinny given Emmen's recent struggles and Jong Ajax's upturn in form. But with both sides defending like there's no tomorrow, the Both Teams to Score market at 1.55 is where the smart money goes. Both teams have been finding the net regularly, and neither can keep them out. Back BTTS Yes.