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Lens arrive at Estac Troyes's ground as the clear favourites, and the numbers back it up. In their last 10 games across all venues, Lens have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5, averaging 1.3 points per game and scoring 1.5 goals per game while conceding 1.6. Estac Troyes, by contrast, have managed just 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the same stretch, averaging 1.0 points per game and scoring 1.3 while conceding 1.9. The gap in recent output is significant.
Lens's attacking output is particularly telling. Their xG for across four recent matches with data stands at 2.61 per game, compared to Estac Troyes' 1.49 per game. Lens beat Lyon 2–1 at home on 9 October and won 3–2 at Slavia Praha on 10 September, showing they can score in volume. Their away record over 20 games spans 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, with 2.15 goals scored per game.
The head-to-head is limited to a single recent meeting: on 4 February 2026, Lens won 4–2 at Estac Troyes's ground in the Coupe de France. Older meetings are historical record only, and the dates reach back to 2012, so they dilute any current-form reading.
The counter-argument for Estac Troyes rests on their home record over 20 games: 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 1.95 points per game and 2.0 goals scored per game. That is a solid home base. However, their last five matches tell a very different story — 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 4 goals scored and 14 conceded. They failed to score in three of those five games and lost 0–2 to Marseille at home on 11 October, just six days before this fixture. Their current run is a loss, and the form is not matching the longer home record.
Lens are not without a wobble either. They lost 0–2 to Sporting CP at home on 13 October in the Champions League, and their last game ended in defeat. But that was a European fixture against a top-tier opponent, and their domestic and overall form remains stronger than Estac Troyes' across every recent comparison.
Key Points:
- Lens have won 4 of their last 10 games (1.3 PPG) while Estac Troyes have won 2 (1.0 PPG)
- Estac Troyes are 0W 1D 4L in their last 5, scoring 0.8 per game and conceding 2.8
- Lens's xG for is 2.61 per game vs Estac Troyes' 1.49, a clear attacking edge
- The only recent head-to-head (4 February 2026) was a 4–2 Lens win at Estac Troyes's ground
- Estac Troyes' 20-game home record (12W 3D 5L) is strong but contradicted by their current form
No Bet.