Excelsior vs Groningen: Eredivisie Preview

The strongest case here is hard to argue against. Excelsior have been absolutely cooking over the last ten games — six wins, two draws, two losses, 2.0 points per game, and 2.8 goals scored per game while conceding just 1.4. That is a side that is scoring in every match (zero failures to score in 10) and pushing over 2.5 goals in all ten. Their last five at all grounds tells the same story: 2W 2D 1L, 10 goals scored, 7 conceded, and over 2.5 in every single one. At home over 20 games, they average 1.3 goals and concede 1.35, with 12 of those 20 going over 2.5. Groningen, by contrast, have a different picture on the road. Their last five across all grounds: 1W 2D 2L, 1.0 points per game, 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded. They lost 1-5 to PSV and 2-3 to Fortuna Sittard in that stretch. Their away record over 20 games is 7W 3D 10L — identical to Excelsior's home record — but they concede 1.75 per game away, compared to Excelsior's 1.35 at home. Their xG against over four recent games sits at 2.15 per game, and they actually conceded 10 goals in those four. The head-to-head at this specific venue in the recent window is a caution for Excelsior fans. In December 2025, Groningen came here and won 2-0, with both teams picking up red cards in the second half. However, in May 2026 at Groningen's ground, Excelsior pulled off a 3-2 away win. The older meetings are historical — a 3-0 Groningen win in 2023 and a 1-0 Excelsior win in January 2023 — and do not carry much weight for current form. The counter-argument is that the home and away records are a dead heat on results (7W 3D 10L each), and the most recent meeting at this ground went to Groningen. But the form gap in the last ten is significant: Excelsior have 2.0 ppg to Groningen's 1.5, and they score 2.8 per game to Groningen's 1.6. Excelsior's defence is also tighter in that window — 1.4 conceded per game to Groningen's 1.7. Now, I know what you're thinking — "Pajimon, where's the meat?" — and I'd love to give you a solid pick, but the available prices could not be used for a recommendation. Key Points: - Excelsior: 6W 2D 2L in last 10, 2.8 scored per game, 1.4 conceded per game - Groningen: 4W 3D 3L in last 10, 1.6 scored per game, 1.7 conceded per game - H2H at this venue (recent): Excelsior lost 0-2 in December 2025; won 3-2 at Groningen in May 2026 - Over 2.5 in 5/5 of Excelsior's last 5 and 10/10 of their last 10 - Both teams' home/away records over 20 games are identical on results: 7W 3D 10L No Bet.