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Excelsior welcome Groningen to their ground on 11 October for an Eredivisie meeting that has been evenly contested in recent memory. The hosts arrive in strong shape: across their latest 10 matches they have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 2.0 points per game and 2.8 goals scored per game. In their last five matches specifically, Excelsior have failed to score in only 0 of 5 games and have seen over 2.5 goals in all five, with a 3–0 win at Willem II on 5 September and a 2–1 home victory over Sparta Rotterdam on 29 August among the highlights. Their home record over 20 games stands at 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses, conceding 1.35 goals per game, which gives them a solid defensive base for this fixture.
Groningen, however, are no pushovers on the road. Their away record over 20 games mirrors Excelsior's home record almost exactly — 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses — but they score 1.35 goals per game away and concede 1.75, which is the higher figure of the two. In the last 12 months of head-to-head meetings, each side has won one: Excelsior took a 3–2 result at Groningen's ground on 2 May 2026, while Groningen won 2–0 at Excelsior's ground on 5 December 2025. That December meeting is the most recent contest at this specific venue, and it ended with Excelsior conceding two goals and failing to score. Groningen's recent form is less impressive — 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five, with 2.2 goals conceded per game — but their 3–0 home win over PEC Zwolle on 18 September shows they can find a rhythm when it matters.
The matchup tables show both teams with identical points-per-game figures (1.2) in their home/away splits, and neither side holds a clear advantage in the over/under or BTTS columns. Excelsior's edge in recent form — 6 wins in 10 versus Groningen's 4 — is real, but the head-to-head at this ground and Groningen's consistent away scoring make this a genuinely open contest. The older head-to-head meetings, stretching back to 2023, are historical record only and do not carry the weight of current form.
Key Points:
- Excelsior: 6W 2D 2L in last 10, 2.8 goals scored per game, over 2.5 in 5 of last 5
- Groningen: 7W 3D 10L away over 20 games, 1.35 goals scored per game away
- H2H at this venue (last 12 months): Groningen won 2–0 on 5 December 2025
- Both teams share identical W-D-L records (7W 3D 10L) in their respective home/away splits
- Excelsior scored in all 5 of their last 5 matches; Groningen scored in all 5 of theirs
The available prices could not be used for a recommendation, and with the evidence pointing to a genuinely balanced contest where no single outcome gives me the confidence I require, the disciplined call is to pass. No Bet.