Eyüpspor vs Kayserispor Prediction

Relegation Six-Pointer: Eyüpspor Host Kayserispor

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle down at the bottom of the Turkish Süper Lig. Both sides are stuck on 12 points, and frankly, neither has been pulling up any trees this season. Eyüpspor are 15th, Kayserispor 16th - separated only by goal difference. This is what you call a proper six-pointer, guv'nor.

Now, Eyüpspor have been showing a bit of spark recently, mind you. They went and nicked a 2-1 win at Gazişehir Gaziantep's place, and let me tell you, Gaziantep have been flying this season (1.90 points per game). That's a proper result, that is. At home, they've been decent enough - keeping it tight at the back with just 0.6 goals conceded per game, though they do struggle to find the net themselves.

Kayserispor, on the other hand, have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde outfit. They just grabbed a tidy 1-0 win at Rizespor, which shows they can travel when they want to. But away from home? Blimey, they've been shipping goals for fun - 2.0 per game on their travels. That's not exactly championship-winning form, is it?

Here's the thing though - these two have met four times before, and Eyüpspor have never beaten Kayserispor. Not once! Two draws, two defeats. The last two meetings were both draws (1-1 and 2-2), so it's not like Kayserispor have been running riot either.

When you look at the recent form, both teams have been involved in some right low-scoring affairs. Eyüpspor's last five games have seen 2.2 goals per game on average, while Kayserispor's have been a bit more open but still nothing crazy. Given that this is a relegation scrap, I'm expecting both managers to be a bit cautious - nobody wants to be the one that messes up and gets dragged deeper into the mire.

Eyüpspor have had an extra couple of days to prepare (7 days rest vs Kayserispor's 4), and they're at home where they've been reasonably solid. Kayserispor's away form is shocking, really - only 20% win rate and leaking goals like a sieve.

I'm not seeing a classic here, folks. This has got cagey written all over it. Both teams know how important this is, and when you're down at the bottom, sometimes it's about not losing rather than going all gung-ho for the win.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
2.10
+EV
+21.8%
Estimated Chance58%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN