Exeter City vs Plymouth Prediction

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this Devon derby! Both sides are stuck near the bottom of League One with 13 points each, but that's where the similarities end, my friend.

Exeter City are struggling big time - just 2 wins in their last 10 games and scoring only 0.6 goals per game. Their home form is shocking too, winning just 20% of their home matches. They've managed only 6 goals in 10 games, which is like trying to have a braai with no meat - just doesn't work! Recent results show they're finding it tough against everyone, losing to Stockport (1-0), Huddersfield (1-0), and even getting beaten by Port Vale at home (2-0).

Now Plymouth on the other hand... these lads have been firing! 6 wins in their last 10 games and scoring a whopping 2.3 goals per game. Their away form is particularly impressive - winning 67% of their away matches and averaging 2.67 goals on the road. They've been putting teams to the sword with big wins like 4-0 at Burton Albion and 3-2 at Luton. Even in their recent loss to AFC Wimbledon, they still found the net.

The head-to-head record is pretty even (4-3 to Plymouth), but 6 out of their 8 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, which makes sense given how Plymouth are playing right now.

Looking at the stats, Plymouth are averaging nearly 13 shots per game compared to Exeter's 9, and getting more than 4.5 shots on target versus Exeter's 2.9. Both teams concede similar amounts (1.1 per game), but Plymouth's attack is on another level right now.

The odds have Plymouth as slight underdogs at 2.50, which looks like fantastic value given their recent form and Exeter's struggles. Sometimes you gotta back the team that's actually playing well, regardless of league position!