Peterborough vs Blackpool Prediction

Ag ne, this is what you call a proper six-pointer! Two teams at the bottom of League One, both desperate for a win. Peterborough sitting 23rd with 10 points, while Blackpool are dead last with just 9 points. The difference between survival and relegation could come down to matches like this one.

Looking at recent form, Peterborough have been a bit up and down. They grabbed a decent 1-0 win away at Burton Albion in their last match, and before that managed a 0-0 draw at home against Stevenage - who are flying high near the top of the table. But they've also had some proper stinkers, like that 3-0 hammering at home by Lincoln and getting battered 3-0 by Exeter City.

Blackpool's form has been pretty rough too. They drew 1-1 with Wycombe at home, but their away form is shocking - absolutely shocking! They've lost their last three away matches without scoring a single goal. Zero, niks, nothing! They lost 1-0 at Stockport, 0-2 at home to Wimbledon, and 1-0 at Bradford. That's three away games on the trot without finding the net.

When you dig into the stats, Peterborough at home average 1.33 goals per game, while Blackpool away average... wait for it... 0.00 goals per game! They've had three away matches recently and couldn't score in any of them. Peterborough also keep the ball better at home (58% possession vs Blackpool's 49% away) and have better pass accuracy.

The head-to-head is pretty even over the years, but most of those matches have been goal-fests - 8 out of 9 had over 2.5 goals. But given how bad Blackpool are away from home right now, I'm not expecting a goal festival this time around.

Both teams need the points badly, but Peterborough have the home advantage and, more importantly, they actually score goals at home. Blackpool look completely toothless on their travels. This has got "low-scoring home win" written all over it.

Key Points:

• Blackpool haven't scored in their last 3 away matches (0 goals)

• Peterborough average 1.33 goals per home game

• Both teams are in the relegation zone, separated by just 1 point

• Blackpool have lost 100% of their last 3 away games

• Peterborough kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 matches

• The head-to-head shows 8/9 matches had over 2.5 goals, but current form suggests otherwise

For me, the value is clear. Blackpool can't buy a goal away from home, and Peterborough, while not world-beaters, at least know where the goal is at their place. The Both Teams to Score - NO market looks like proper value here.