Mallorca vs Levante Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this relegation six-pointer. Both sides are stuck in the muck at the bottom of La Liga, with Mallorca in 16th and Levante just above them in 15th, both on 8 points. This is exactly the kind of game that can make or break a season.

Now, you might look at the table and think Mallorca at home should have the edge, but hold your horses. The stats tell a different story. Mallorca's home form isn't terrible - 40% win rate - but they're only averaging a goal per game at their own gaff. They did have a decent result recently, smashing Sevilla 3-1 away from home, but that was against a side who've been a bit hit and miss themselves.

Here's the kicker though - Levante have been surprisingly decent on their travels. 50% win rate away from home! They're banging in 1.67 goals per game on the road and only letting in 0.83. That's proper away form for a team in their position. They've had some decent results too - a 4-0 hammering of Girona and a 2-0 win at Oviedo.

Head-to-head, Levante have historically had the wood over Mallorca, winning 5 of the 9 meetings. True, Mallorca have done well at home against them in the past, but recent form suggests Levante might just have the edge.

The bookies have Mallorca as slight favorites at 2.10, but given Levante's away form and both teams' struggles, that seems a bit short to me. The goal expectancy has Levante scoring more (1.33) than Mallorca (0.92), which tells its own story.

This has all the makings of a tight, nervy affair, but I'm siding with the away side here. Levante's form on the road has been too good to ignore, and at 3.60, there's some proper value to be had.