Truro City vs Altrincham Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle. On paper, you might think two struggling sides, but dig a bit deeper and this looks like a mismatch waiting to happen.

Truro City might be sitting in the relegation zone, but don't let that fool you - they've been playing some decent stuff lately. Three wins and five draws from their last ten games tells a story of a team that's found its feet. More importantly, they've been proper decent at home, winning 60% of their last five matches on their own patch and averaging 2.2 goals per game there. They put five past Morecambe not too long ago and beat a handy FC Halifax side 2-1. That's not the form of a team destined for the drop.

Now then, Altrincham. Blimey, where do I start? They haven't won a single game in their last ten matches. Not one! Five draws and five defeats, averaging just 0.5 points per game. Away from home? It's even worse - zero wins in their last five away trips and they're only managing 0.4 goals per game on their travels. They recently got knocked out of the FA Cup by Slough Town, which tells you all you need to know about their current confidence levels.

The league table might show these two as relegation rivals, but the form guide tells a completely different story. Truro are scoring goals at home, while Altrincham can't buy a goal away from home. With Truro's decent home record against Alty's shocking away form, this looks like a home win waiting to happen.

The bookies have Truro at 2.20 for the win, which seems proper generous given what we're seeing. Sometimes the best value is found when you look beyond the league positions and focus on what's actually happening on the pitch right now.