Yeovil Town vs Boston United Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle between two sides who've been struggling more than a one-legged man in an arse-kicking contest. Both Yeovil and Boston are stuck on 21 points near the foot of the table, and frankly, neither has been pulling up any trees recently.

Yeovil's problem is simple - they can't buy a goal at home. We're talking 0.4 goals per game on their own patch, which is about as threatening as a wet paper bag. They've managed just two wins in ten, and one of those was a lucky 1-0 against Altrincham back in September. Their recent form reads like a horror story: 0-3 vs Rochdale, 0-2 vs Wealdstone, 0-1 vs Southend. The only bright spot was a goalless draw at Morecambe, but let's be honest, that's papering over some massive cracks.

Boston, on the other hand, are the complete opposite. They can score (1.3 per game overall, 1.8 away from home) but defending seems to be optional. Zero clean sheets in ten games - I mean, not one! That's either incredibly brave or incredibly stupid, probably both. They shipped four against Morecambe at home, three against Rochdale, and even let Altrincham score despite them barely averaging a goal a game themselves.

Here's the thing though - Boston actually play better away from home. They've won 40% of their away games and scored 1.8 goals per game on their travels. They put three past both Gateshead and Tamworth on the road, so they know where the net is when they're not playing in front of their own fans.

The head-to-head suggests goals too - both previous meetings went over 2.5, with Boston winning 3-0 at Yeovil last season.

So what's the play here? Well, Boston's defense is about as solid as chocolate teapot, and they haven't kept a clean sheet in ten attempts. Yeovil might not be prolific, but even they should fancy their chances against a backline that generous. Meanwhile, Boston's away attack suggests they'll get on the scoresheet too.

This smells like both teams getting on the board, which at 1.80 looks about right for this level of football.