Getafe vs Girona Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Friday night fixture in La Liga. Getafe hosting Girona, and on paper, this looks like a mismatch of epic proportions.

The league table tells you all you need to know, really. Getafe sitting comfortably in 10th with 14 points from 10 games, while Girona are rock bottom of the pile with just 7 points. That's a seven-point gap between these two, and when you dig into the form, it gets even more telling.

Getafe have been grinding out results lately. They just picked up a cracking 1-0 win at Athletic Club's place - no mean feat that. Before that, they lost to Real Madrid (who hasn't?) and Osasuna, but they've shown they can compete. What's interesting is their away form has actually been better than home recently - winning half their games on the road compared to just 25% at home. Strange one, that, but maybe they're due a home performance.

Girona, bless 'em, are having a right old time of it. One win in ten games is relegation form, make no mistake. They're drawing a few games, but they're conceding goals for fun - 20 in their last ten matches. Their away form is absolutely shocking: not a single win on their travels all season, averaging less than a goal per game while letting in two. That's not going to get you many points in this league.

When these two have met at Getafe's place, the home side has the edge - three wins, one draw, one loss. Last time they faced off, Getafe nicked it 2-1, and I reckon we might see something similar here.

The stats don't lie either. Getafe are averaging 1.8 goals per game, Girona just 0.9. Defensively, Getafe are conceding 1.2 per game, while Girona are shipping two goals every match. Girona have kept just one clean sheet in ten games - that's not going to cut it.

Factor in the rest days too - Getafe have had six days to prepare, Girona just three, and they've played an extra game recently. That could be telling come Friday night.

The bookies have Getafe at 2.15 for the win, which looks decent value to me. They're the better team, in better form, playing at home against the league's bottom side who can't win away. Sometimes the simple bets are the best ones.

Key Points:

• Getafe sit 10th with 14 points, Girona are 20th with just 7 points

• Girona have won just 1 of their last 10 games

• Girona's away form: 0% win rate, 0.8 goals scored per game

• Getafe have won 3 of 5 home meetings against Girona

• Girona have kept only 1 clean sheet in 10 matches

• Getafe have 6 days rest vs Girona's 3 days

The gulf in quality and form is just too big to ignore here. Getafe should have enough to see off a struggling Girona side who look destined for a long season if they don't improve their away form pronto.