Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd Prediction

Steel City Derby: Bottom Table Battle

Preview

Ag man, this is going to be one proper kak match! Two teams at the wrong end of the table facing off in the Steel City derby. Sheffield Wednesday are rock bottom of the Championship with a shocking -4 points from 15 games - that's how bad they are! They haven't won a single home game in their last 5 attempts, scoring just 0.6 goals per game at home while letting in 2.0. That's worse than my braai after too many beers!

Sheffield Utd aren't much better though, sitting 22nd with only 10 points. They do score more away from home (1.4 per game) and had that decent 3-1 win at Blackburn, but they've been leaking goals like a sieve lately - conceding 3 against Coventry, Derby, and Preston.

Looking at recent form, Wednesday managed just one win in their last 10 games (that 2-0 against Portsmouth back in September). Their recent results read like a horror story: 3-1 loss to Southampton, 1-1 draw with Norwich, 0-0 with West Brom, and that embarrassing 0-5 hammering at home to Coventry. Ouch!

Utd's recent form isn't great either - they drew 0-0 with QPR but then lost 3-1 to Coventry and 3-1 to Derby. They did show some fight with that 3-1 away win at Blackburn, but consistency is not their strong suit.

The head-to-head tells us these derby matches are usually tight and boring affairs. Out of 7 previous meetings, only 1 had over 2.5 goals. Most have been 0-0 or 0-1 results. Both teams seem to forget how to score when they play each other!

Wednesday's home stats are frightening - 0 wins in 5 home games, averaging less than a goal scored while shipping two per game. Utd at least show some attacking intent on the road, but their defense is just as bad as Wednesday's.

Given both teams' struggles in front of goal and the historical low-scoring nature of this derby, I'm expecting another tight, nervy affair with probably not many goals. Both sides are desperate for points but lack the quality to break each other down consistently.

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
1.80
+EV
+4.4%
Estimated Chance58%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN