Preview
Hey folks, Pajimon here. Welcome to another Allsvenskan showdown. Mjallby AIF host Orgryte IS at their home ground on 2026-04-11. It's kickoff time, and I'm ready to pick the winner.
Mjallby AIF is looking sharp at home. In their last 6 home games, they've won 83.33% of them. That's serious business. They average 2.33 goals per game at home and only concede 0.50. Their defense is tight, and their attack is firing.
On the other side, Orgryte IS is struggling on the road. In their last 4 away games, they haven't won a single match (0% win rate). They score 1.00 goals away but concede 2.50. That's a leaky defense.
Head-to-head history favors Mjallby heavily. In the last 3 meetings, Mjallby won 2 times. The most recent clash ended 3-0 in favor of Mjallby back in February 2026.
Looking at the odds, the Home Win is priced at 1.40. Given Mjallby's 83% home win rate versus Orgryte's 0% away win rate, the edge is clear. The implied probability of 1.40 is around 71%, but based on the data, the true probability is closer to 83%. That gives us a solid edge.
Orgryte's goal expectancy is low (0.75), while Mjallby's is high (2.42). This points to a Mjallby victory with goals.
So, what's the call? Mjallby AIF to win. It's a safe bet with good value. Let's get that win.
Key Points:
- Mjallby AIF Home Win Rate: 83.33%
- Orgryte IS Away Win Rate: 0.00%
- H2H: Mjallby won 2 of 3 matches, including a 3-0 victory.
- Mjallby Home Goals: 2.33 per game.
- Orgryte Away Goals Conceded: 2.50 per game.
Recommended Bet: Home Win
