Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper chat about this Super League clash between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Wuhan Three Towns. It's April 2026, and the form book is telling a very clear story here. Chongqing Tongliang Long are in a right good position, sitting unbeaten in their last 10 games. That's 6 wins and 4 draws, not a single loss. They're picking up 2.20 points per game, which is top-tier stuff. On the other side, Wuhan Three Towns are having a tough go of it. In their last 10, they've managed just 1 win, 2 draws, and 7 losses. That's a win rate of only 10% compared to Chongqing's 60%.

Now, look at the defense. Chongqing have been solid as a rock, conceding just 5 goals in 10 games. That's 0.50 goals per game. Wuhan? They've let in 25 goals in the same period. That's 2.50 goals per game. That's a massive gap. When you add the goal expectancy numbers, we're looking at roughly 2.40 total goals expected (1.60 for Chongqing, 0.80 for Wuhan). But the real story is the clean sheets. Chongqing have kept 70% of their last 10 games clean. Wuhan have only kept 10% clean. That's a huge difference.

The odds are offering Chongqing to win at 1.86. Given the form gap—Chongqing unbeaten vs Wuhan winless away—there's value there. The implied probability is about 54%, but with Chongqing's defensive record and Wuhan's leaky backline, the real chance looks closer to 58%. That gives us a nice edge. Wuhan's away form is particularly grim; they haven't won a single away game in their last 10 outings. Chongqing, meanwhile, have 40% win rate at home, but more importantly, they are completely unbeaten overall.

So, what's the play? The numbers point to Chongqing taking three points. The defense is the key. Wuhan concede heavily, and Chongqing score consistently. I'm backing the home side to get the job done. No need for fancy accumulators; just a straight Home Win bet with good value. It's simple, it's factual, and the math backs it up. Let's hope they keep that clean sheet streak going.