Falkirk vs Livingston Prediction

Bairns Battle Bottom Boys In BTTS Bonanza

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Scottish Premiership scrap between Falkirk and Livingston. The Bairns are sitting pretty in 5th with 15 points, while Livingston are rock bottom with just 7 points from 11 games - not exactly championship-winning form, is it?

Falkirk have been a bit of a mixed bag lately, haven't they? They've had some decent results like that 3-1 win over Kilmarnock and a 2-1 victory against Dundee, but they've also taken some proper hidings - 4-0 against Celtic and 3-0 to Hearts. At home though, they've been banging in the goals, averaging 1.8 per game on their own patch.

Livingston, well, they're having a right mare of a season. Ten games without a win is shocking stuff, isn't it? Their away form is particularly woeful - just 0.6 goals per game on their travels. They did manage a couple of draws recently (0-0 with St Mirren and 2-2 with Hibs), but let's be honest, they're struggling big time.

Now here's the kicker - and it's a big one. Falkirk have NEVER beaten Livingston in nine meetings. Not once! That's 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Even at home, the Bairns haven't managed to get the better of them. Last time out, Livingston won 3-1.

Both teams are pretty generous at the back, conceding around 1.9 goals per game each. Falkirk have seen both teams score in 70% of their games, while Livingston aren't far behind at 60%. Given Falkirk's home scoring record and Livingston's tendency to concede, plus the fact that Livingston have found the net in a couple of recent away games, I'm fancying both teams to get on the scoresheet here.

The stats show Falkirk averaging 1.8 goals at home, and while Livingston only average 0.6 away, they've scored in two of their last three on the road. With both defenses looking about as solid as a chocolate teapot, BTTS looks like the smart money.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.62
+EV
+5.3%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN