FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this Bundesliga clash! FC Augsburg hosting RB Leipzig - and blimey, this looks like a mismatch of epic proportions.

Leipzig are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 16 points from 7 games, playing some proper football. Only that 6-0 hammering by Bayern has spoiled their perfect record. Meanwhile, Augsburg are down in 13th with just 7 points, looking more like a team that's had one too many the night before.

Augsburg's recent form is worrying - only 3 wins in their last 10 games, and at home they're winning just 20% of the time. They're leaking goals like a sieve too - 2.20 per home game on average! Their only clean sheet in 10 games tells you everything about their defence.

Leipzig, on the other hand, are cooking with gas. 6 wins in their last 10, and on the road they're winning half their games. They've kept 3 clean sheets in that period and generally look solid at the back.

But here's the killer stat - these two have met 9 times, and Augsburg have NEVER won. Not once! At home it's 0 wins, 4 draws. Leipzig have won 5 times overall, including recent thumpings of 4-0 and 3-0. Seven of those 9 games went over 2.5 goals too.

Leipzig take more shots (17 vs 12) and have more possession, though Augsburg are slightly more accurate when they do shoot. But quality tells in the end, and Leipzig have that in spades.

The odds of 1.95 for Leipzig away win look like proper value to me. This isn't just about form - it's about historical dominance too. Augsburg simply don't beat Leipzig, and right now Leipzig are flying high while Augsburg are struggling.