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FC Dallas's home record tells a clear story: 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses across their last 20 home games, with 1.9 goals scored per game and 1.2 conceded. That is a side that controls matches at home. Seattle Sounders, by contrast, have won just 5 of their last 20 away games, drawing 7 and losing 8, scoring 1.05 per game and conceding 1.3. The gap between these two venue records is the single most telling piece of evidence in this fixture.
The head-to-head at FC Dallas's ground adds a historical note, though the meetings are dated. In the two older meetings at this venue, Seattle won 1–0 and the sides drew 0–0. The only meeting within the last 12 months was at Seattle's ground on 26 April, which Seattle won 2–1. The recent head-to-head is thin, and the older meetings at this ground do not offer a clear edge to either side.
The counter-argument is Seattle's current run. They have won their last four matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 2. Their last five games show 4 wins and 1 draw, with 13 goals scored and 5 conceded. That is a team in genuine form, and it is hard to ignore. FC Dallas, meanwhile, lost their most recent game 2–3 at Charlotte's ground on 10 October, and their last five games include that defeat alongside a 0–0 draw at home against Austin on 20 September.
However, form does not override venue records. Seattle's four-game winning run includes three home games and one away game (the 3–0 win at New England on 10 October). Their away record over 20 games remains 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. FC Dallas's home record of 11 wins in 20 games is the stronger structural evidence, and their 1.9 goals per game at home compares with Seattle's 1.05 per game on the road.
Key Points:
- FC Dallas: 11W 7D 2L in 20 home games, 1.9 scored per game, 1.2 conceded per game
- Seattle Sounders: 5W 7D 8L in 20 away games, 1.05 scored per game, 1.3 conceded per game
- Seattle won their last 4 matches (10 scored, 2 conceded); FC Dallas lost their last game 2–3 at Charlotte on 10 October
- Only one head-to-head meeting within 12 months: Seattle won 2–1 at their ground on 26 April
- FC Dallas home record shows 6 clean sheets in 20 games; Seattle away record shows 7 clean sheets in 20 games
The home win is the strongest case in this fixture, but 11 wins in 20 home games and 7 draws in the same span mean this is not a certainty. Mr Certainty does not stake on a record that leaves a third of the games undecided. The available prices do not offer a stake that clears the bar for a sure thing.
No Bet.