FC Lugano vs FC Zurich Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Swiss Super League clash between FC Lugano and FC Zurich. The lads from Lugano are sitting 8th in the table with 10 points, while Zurich are perched nicely in 5th with 13 points. On paper, you might fancy the away side, but football's not played on paper, is it?

Lugano have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side lately. They can bang in the goals - look at that 4-2 hammering of Winterthur and another 4-2 against Celje in Europe. But blimey, they can also ship 'em for fun. That 0-5 drubbing at home to Celje and 0-4 loss to Sion show they've got a back door that's constantly swinging open. In fact, get this - they've kept exactly ZERO clean sheets in their last 10 games. Not one! They're averaging 1.7 goals scored but 2.3 conceded per game. You're pretty much guaranteed goals when Lugano are involved.

Zurich, on the other hand, are a bit more steady Eddie. They're grinding out results with a 50% win rate over their last 10, scoring and conceding exactly 1.6 goals per game. Their away form is actually decent - 50% win rate on their travels and only letting in 1.17 goals per game away from home. They did get stuffed 3-0 by Grasshoppers in their last outing though, so they're not exactly invincible.

When these two have met, it's been pretty even stevens - four wins each and one draw from nine meetings. But here's the interesting bit: Lugano have actually won 60% of their home games against Zurich. That said, Zurich did win the last meeting 3-0, and six of the nine clashes have seen over 2.5 goals.

Both sides are seeing both teams score in 70% of their matches, and with Lugano's defense being about as solid as a chocolate teapot, you'd fancy both to get on the scoresheet again. Zurich might be higher in the league, but Lugano's home advantage and that historical edge against them makes this trickier than it looks.

The stats are screaming 'goals' in this one, and given Lugano can't keep a clean sheet to save their lives, both teams finding the net looks like the smart money.