FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys Prediction
St. Gallen Look to Edge Goal-Happy Young Boys
Preview
Right then, let's have a proper look at this Swiss Super League showdown! ST. Gallen are sitting third in the table, just two points ahead of today's visitors Young Boys, and they've been playing some proper entertaining stuff lately.
The home side have been banging them in for fun - 27 goals in their last 10 games works out at nearly 2.7 per game! They're either winning or losing though, no draws for these lads this season. They just suffered a bit of a blow losing 3-2 to Sion, but before that they put five past Grasshoppers and, crucially, beat Young Boys 2-1 away from home.
Young Boys have been a bit more conservative with their scoring - 17 in their last 10 - but they've been leaking goals at the back, shipping 20 in that same period. They've had a couple of draws recently, 0-0 with Basel and a 3-3 thriller with Grasshoppers. That 5-0 hammering by Lausanne in October shows they can be vulnerable.
When these two have met, it's usually been Young Boys who come out on top (5 wins to 3), but ST. Gallen have won 2 of the 4 meetings on their own patch. The last meeting was that 2-1 win for ST. Gallen, so they've got the psychological edge.
Looking at the stats, ST. Gallen's home form is a bit hit and miss - won 2, lost 2 of their last 4 at home. Young Boys have been decent on their travels with 2 wins in their last 5 away games. Both teams tend to score and concede, which usually makes for good viewing.
The bookies have got this as a proper tight one - ST. Gallen at 2.30, Young Boys at 2.75. Given the home side's scoring form and the fact they just beat Young Boys away, I reckon there's a bit of value in backing them to do the double.
Key Points:
• ST. Gallen averaging 2.7 goals per game this season
• Young Boys conceding 2 goals per game away from home
• ST. Gallen won 2-1 away in the reverse fixture
• 7 of 9 head-to-head meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
• Both teams have been scoring regularly in recent matches
The way I see it, ST. Gallen's attacking firepower at home should be enough to see them past a Young Boys side who've been a bit generous at the back. The odds of 2.30 for a home win look about right to me, maybe even slightly generous given recent form.