FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Swiss Super League showdown. On paper, you'd fancy FC ST. Gallen sitting pretty in 4th place against 8th-placed Lausanne, but dig a bit deeper and this one's not so straightforward.

ST. Gallen have been a proper Jekyll and Hyde side lately. One minute they're banging five past Grasshoppers at home, the next they're getting hammered 4-1 by Young Boys on their own patch. Their home record reads 50% wins, 50% losses - hardly fortress material, is it? They've got some quality going forward with 1.80 goals per game, but they're also shipping them at 1.40 per game. Inconsistent doesn't even cover it.

Now Lausanne, these lads are on fire! Only one loss in their last ten games, and that was a narrow 3-1 defeat to Servette. They've been absolutely ruthless in front of goal - 2.30 per game on average - and their away form is something else. 60% win rate on their travels, conceding just 0.8 goals per game away from home. That's proper defensive solidity right there.

The head-to-head does favour ST. Gallen historically (7 wins from 9 meetings), but football's about now, not back then. Lausanne won 5-1 against Basel recently and put five past Young Boys too - they're not scared of anyone.

Both teams like a goal, mind you. BTTS has landed in 60% of ST. Gallen's recent games and 70% of Lausanne's. With both sides averaging over 1.5 goals per game, we could be in for a proper goal fest.

The odds have got me interested though. ST. Gallen at 2.15 seems a bit short given their patchy home form, while Lausanne at 3.00 for the away win looks tasty considering their excellent recent form and away record.

Key Points:

• Lausanne have lost just 1 of their last 10 games

• ST. Gallen's home form is 50% wins, 50% losses

• Lausanne averaging 2.30 goals per game, ST. Gallen 1.80

• Lausanne's away form: 60% wins, 0.8 goals conceded per game

• Both teams score regularly - BTTS in 60-70% of recent games

For me, the value's with the visitors. Lausanne are flying high, confident, and playing some proper good football. ST. Gallen are too inconsistent at home, and while they have the historical edge, current form counts for more in my book.