FC Volendam vs Heracles Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this bottom-of-the-table clash. It's the battle of the basement boys, but blimey, there's a world of difference between these two sides.

FC Volendam might be sitting 17th, but they've shown some fight. They nicked a point off Ajax at home with a 1-1 draw, and actually managed a 2-1 win against PEC Zwolle. They're not exactly setting the world alight, but they're competitive. The lads have been scoring at home too - 1.5 goals per game on their own patch.

Then you've got Heracles. Oh dear. They're rock bottom with just 3 points from 9 games, and get this - they haven't drawn a single match all season! It's either win or lose, and mostly lose. Their away form is absolutely shocking: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses, scoring a pathetic 0.4 goals per game while shipping 2.8. They just got hammered 0-7 by Feyenoord at home, which tells you everything you need to know about their confidence right now.

Here's the kicker though - these two have met four times before, and Volendam have NEVER lost to Heracles (2 wins, 2 draws). Both teams have scored in every single one of those meetings too.

Looking at the numbers, Volendam are averaging 1.5 goals at home, while Heracles are barely managing to get a shot on target away from home, let alone score. The goal expectancy has Volendam at 2.15 goals and Heracles at just 0.95.

Sometimes in football, you just have to follow the form book, and right now Heracles are in absolute freefall. Volendam at home against the worst away side in the division? That's not just a chance, that's an opportunity.

Key Points:

• Heracles haven't drawn a single game all season (8 losses, 1 win)

• Heracles away form: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses, scoring 0.4 goals per game

• Volendam have never lost to Heracles in 4 previous meetings (2 wins, 2 draws)

• Both teams have scored in all 4 head-to-head matches

• Volendam drew 1-1 with Ajax at home this season

• Heracles just conceded 7 goals against Feyenoord

The Verdict: This looks like Volendam's best chance of the season to grab three points. Heracles are that bad away from home, and Volendam have the historical edge. The home win at 2.10 looks like proper value to me.