FC Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

NEC To Continue Top Form Against Struggling Volendam

Preview

Alright lads, let's have a proper gander at this Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and NEC Nijmegen. On paper, this looks like a proper mismatch, and the numbers back that up big time.

Volendam are languishing in 15th spot with just 14 points from 14 games - proper relegation form that is. They've only managed 3 wins all season, and when you look closer, those victories have come against the struggling sides near the bottom. Against the big boys? They've been getting absolutely spanked. Recent results show 0-3 against PSV, 1-3 against Feyenoord, and 1-3 against Utrecht. Their home form is decent mind you, winning 60% of their last 5 at home, but they're still shipping goals for fun.

NEC, on the other hand, are flying high in 3rd place with 24 points. They've been proper tasty recently, especially that 4-2 demolition of Feyenoord away from home - what a result that was! They're scoring goals for fun too, averaging 2.2 per game over their last 10 matches. Only two defeats in their last 10, and one of those was a tight 1-0 loss to Utrecht.

The head-to-head makes grim reading for Volendam fans. NEC have won 6 out of 8 meetings between these sides, including a 5-2 thumping last time they met. Volendam have only beaten NEC once at home in 5 attempts. These games are usually goal fests too - 7 out of 8 have gone over 2.5 goals.

When you look at the attacking stats, NEC are averaging 14.2 shots per game with 6 on target, while Volendam are only managing 10.6 shots with 3.8 on target. NEC are also dominating possession with 54.7% compared to Volendam's 45.5%. The quality gap is there for all to see.

Both teams have been finding the net regularly though - 70% of Volendam's recent games and 80% of NEC's have seen both sides score. Volendam's defence is proper leaky, conceding 1.6 goals per game, while NEC are banging them in at the other end.

The odds have NEC as clear favorites at 1.80 for the away win, which seems about right given everything we've seen. For me, NEC's quality, form, and attacking prowess should be too much for a struggling Volendam side, even at home.

Key Points:

  • NEC sit 3rd vs Volendam's 15th - massive quality gap
  • NEC smashed Feyenoord 4-2 away in their last away game
  • Volendam only beat bottom-half teams at home
  • NEC dominate head-to-head: 6 wins in 8 meetings
  • Both teams score in most games - 70% Volendam, 80% NEC
  • NEC averaging 2.2 goals per game vs Volendam's 1.3

The Verdict: NEC's form and quality should see them through this one comfortably. Volendam might score at home, but NEC's attacking firepower should be too much to handle.

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
1.80
+EV
+4.4%
Estimated Chance58%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN