Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Feyenoord arrive at this fixture in commanding domestic form. Their last two matches produced 12 goals and zero conceded — a 5–0 demolition of Utrecht at home on 20 September and a 7–0 away victory over PEC Zwolle on 13 September. Across their last five matches, Feyenoord have scored 3.6 goals per game and won three of five. At their ground over the last 20 home games, the record stands at 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 2.45 goals scored per game. That is a strong foundation for a home win.

AZ Alkmaar, by contrast, travel with a less reassuring away record. Over 20 away games, they have won 9, drawn 3 and lost 8, scoring 1.65 per game. Their most recent away outing — a 0–1 defeat to Sunderland in the Europa League on 16 September — was their last away match, and it ended without a goal. In their last five matches overall, AZ Alkmaar have scored 2 per game and won three of five, but the away sample tells a different story.

The head-to-head at this venue within the last 12 months produced a 1–1 draw on 10 May 2026. That single recent meeting is the most direct evidence of how this fixture plays out at Feyenoord's ground, and it reminds us that AZ Alkmaar can absorb pressure here. Older meetings at this venue — a 3–2 and a 2–0, both Feyenoord wins — are historical record and do not carry the same weight as the current 1–1.

The counter-argument is straightforward: AZ Alkmaar have won 8 of their last 10 matches across all venues, and their overall points-per-game (2.5) actually edges Feyenoord's (2.3) over that span. They are not a team in freefall. The 1–1 draw five months ago at this very ground shows they can compete in this fixture. Feyenoord's 1–5 loss to Barcelona in the Champions League on 9 September, while understandable against a top European side, does show the ceiling of their current defensive organisation.

Key Points:

• Feyenoord have won their last two matches, scoring 12 and conceding 0, and hold a 12W 5D 3L record at home over 20 games.

• AZ Alkmaar's away record over 20 games is 9W 3D 8L, and their last away match ended in a 0–1 loss.

• The only meeting at this venue within the last 12 months was a 1–1 draw on 10 May 2026.

• AZ Alkmaar have won 8 of their last 10 matches across all venues, showing they are in solid form.

• Feyenoord's home scoring average (2.45 per game) exceeds AZ Alkmaar's away scoring average (1.65 per game).

The evidence tilts firmly toward Feyenoord, but the 1–1 draw at this ground five months ago and AZ Alkmaar's strong overall form mean I cannot call this a certainty. When the numbers don't give me the confidence I need, I pass. no bet.