Leyton Orient vs Plymouth Prediction

Plymouth to Roast Orient on the Road

Preview

Howzit my bru! Grab a cold one and fire up the braai because we've got a lekker Tuesday night clash in League One coming your way. Leyton Orient host Plymouth at Brisbane Road, and if you like winning as much as I do, you'll want to pay attention to this one.

Leyton Orient are having a proper kak time of it lately, sitting down in 18th place with just 33 points from 30 games. Their recent form is about as appetizing as a plate of vegetables - only 1 win in their last 10 matches, with a miserable 6 goals scored in that stretch. They've been shut out in 6 of those 10 games, including back-to-back 0-0 draws against Mansfield and Stockport where they couldn't hit a cow's backside with a banjo despite being at home. Even that 3-1 win against Reading feels like a distant memory now, bru. At home they're only managing 1.00 goal per game while conceding 1.20, and their win rate at Brisbane Road is a sorry 20%.

Now flip the boerewors and look at Plymouth - these okes are flying on the road! Sitting pretty in 12th with 40 points, they've won 60% of their last 5 away games and are banging in 2.20 goals per game when traveling. They just demolished Blackpool 4-0 away from home and have also beaten Luton and Peterborough on their travels recently. With 18 goals in their last 10 games and scoring in 9 of those 10, their attack is sharper than a new pair of tongs at the braai. Even when they lost 4-1 to Lincoln recently, they still found the net against the league's second-placed side.

The head-to-head makes for ugly reading if you're an Orient fan - Plymouth have won 5 of the last 8 meetings with no draws at all. The last time these two met in December, Plymouth snuck away with a 1-0 win. Orient's home record against Plymouth is particularly poor at just 1 win from 3 attempts.

The bookies have this priced tight at 2.55 for the home win and 2.62 for the away, which is a joke sharper than my ouma's tongue. Plymouth's away form is elite level for this division, while Orient couldn't score in a brewery. With Plymouth averaging 16.4 shots away from home compared to Orient's 11.5 at home, the visitors should dominate proceedings.

Key Points:

  • Plymouth have won 60% of their last 5 away games, scoring 2.20 goals per game on the road
  • Leyton Orient have managed just 1 win in their last 10 matches, failing to score in 6 of those games
  • The last 8 meetings between these sides have produced no draws (Orient 3 wins, Plymouth 5 wins)
  • Plymouth have scored in 9 of their last 10 fixtures, including against top sides like Lincoln and Stockport
  • Leyton Orient's home win rate sits at just 20% over their last 5 home games

Summary:

Take the away win at 2.62, my bru. Plymouth's away form is lekker, Orient's attack is blunter than a butter knife, and the H2H record shows Plymouth know how to get the job done against this lot. This is braai-worthy value - no vegetables, just meat and money!

Match time
Recommended Bet
AWAY WIN
Odds
2.62
+EV
+17.9%
Estimated Chance45%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN