FC Porto B vs Maritimo Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this mismatch in the Segunda Liga. We've got the bottom boys FC Porto B hosting third-placed Maritimo, and blimey, the stats don't half tell a story.

Porto B are having an absolute shocker this season - rock bottom of the table with just 2 points from 7 games. They've not won a single match yet, drawing two and losing five. Their recent form is proper grim: getting battered 4-0 by Vizela, losing 2-0 to Academico Viseu, and going down 1-2 to União de Leiria. At home, they're shipping goals for fun - 2.0 per game on their own patch. That's about as solid as a chocolate teapot, that is.

Maritimo, on the other hand, are flying high in third place with 14 points. They've been solid as a rock at the back, conceding just 0.7 goals per game. They've even gone and beaten Sporting CP B (who are top of the league) 1-0 recently. Away from home, they're even better - winning 60% of their travels and only letting in 0.6 goals per game.

Now here's the killer stat: these two have met four times before, and Maritimo have won every single time. Not just that, Porto B haven't even scored a single goal against them! All four matches finished 0-1, 0-1, 0-1, and 0-2. Talk about a bogey team.

Both sides aren't exactly goal machines either - averaging 1.10 goals per game each. When you combine Porto B's leaky home defense with Maritimo's tight away unit, and throw in that head-to-head history, you've got all the ingredients for a low-scoring affair.

The bookies have got Maritimo as favorites at 2.25, which makes sense given they're 12 places better off in the table. But the value might be in the goals market - under 2.5 is priced at 1.70, and given how these matches usually go, that looks tempting.

Key Points:

• Porto B are dead last with 2 points from 7 games

• Maritimo sit 3rd with 14 points from 7 games

• Maritimo have won all 4 previous meetings, Porto B scored 0 goals

• Porto B concede 2.0 goals per game at home

• Maritimo concede only 0.6 goals per game away

• Both teams average just 1.10 goals scored per game

Summing it up, Maritimo should win this walking away, but the smart money might be on this staying under 2.5 goals given the defensive patterns and that shocking head-to-head record for Porto B.