Preston vs Coventry Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this cracker! Coventry come marching into town sitting pretty at the top of the Championship, and blimey, they're playing some proper stuff. Eight wins in their last ten games, scoring for fun at 2.3 goals per match - that's promotion form, that is.

But hold your horses, because Preston ain't no mugs at home. They might be fifth in the table, but they've got Coventry's number historically, winning three-quarters of their home meetings against them. The Lilywhites have been a bit hit-and-miss lately though - drawing 1-1 with Wrexham in their last game and only keeping one clean sheet in ten matches. That's about as solid as a chocolate teapot, isn't it?

What's catching my eye is how both these teams love a goal fest. Preston have both teams scoring in 80% of their recent games, while Coventry aren't far behind at 70%. The Sky Blues might have taken a bit of a knock with that 3-0 loss to Ipswich, but let's be honest, they'd been battering everyone before that - four goals past Middlesbrough, three past Charlton and West Brom.

Preston's home form reads like a proper mixed bag - 40% win rate, scoring 1.4 per game but also letting in 1.4. It's all or nothing stuff. Coventry on their travels have been decent enough, winning 60% of away games and finding the net 1.8 times per match.

The stats are screaming goals at me. Both sides average over 1.3 goals conceded per game, and neither can keep a clean sheet to save their lives. When you've got two teams who score regularly but defend like they've got holes in their pockets, you know what's coming.

Key Points:

• Coventry top of the league with 43 points, Preston fifth with 31

• Coventry in sensational form: 8W, 0D, 2L in last 10 (2.40 PPG)

• Preston dominate historically at home vs Coventry: 75% win rate

• Both teams score regularly: Preston 80% BTTS, Coventry 70% BTTS

• Defensive issues: Preston 10% clean sheets, Coventry 20% clean sheets

The bookies have got Coventry as favorites at 1.95, which makes sense given their league position and form. But I'm not touching that - Preston's home record against them is too good to ignore. Instead, I'm looking at the both teams to score market. At 1.80, it looks proper value when you consider how leaky both defences are. Coventry will likely score, and Preston usually find the net at home. Simple as that.