First Vienna vs Rapid Wien II Prediction

Vienna's Home Woes vs Rapid's Away Firepower

Preview

Alright boets, let's get stuck into this one! First Vienna and Rapid Wien II are basically sitting next to each other in the table like two mates at a braai - just one point separating them in 9th and 11th. But when you dig deeper, there's a proper story unfolding here!

First Vienna's home form has been more shocking than finding out your beer is warm - ZERO wins in their last five home matches! They're leaking goals at home like a sieve, conceding 2.20 per game while only managing to score 0.80. Their recent home results tell the tale: a 0-0 draw against the league's bottom side WSPG Wels, losses to SKU Amstetten (2-3), Admira Wacker (1-3), and even a 0-2 defeat to Floridsdorfer AC. Not exactly the form of a team that should be favorites at home, hey!

Rapid Wien II, on the other hand, are showing some proper grit on their travels. They're banging in 2.00 goals per game away from home and have looked decent recently with a 4-0 hammering of Stripfing and a solid 2-1 win over Austria Klagenfurt. Sure, they had that confusing 3-2 loss to WSPG Wels, but overall they're averaging 1.30 points per game compared to Vienna's 0.90.

The head-to-head record is interesting though - Vienna actually has a decent home record against Rapid II (2W-1D-0L), but they did lose the last meeting 0-1 back in April. Historically, these matches tend to produce goals, with 6 of 8 meetings going over 2.5 goals.

Looking at the stats, both teams are scoring and conceding regularly. Both have a 50% both teams to score rate in their last 10 games, and with Vienna's defensive struggles at home combined with Rapid's away scoring form, we could be in for some proper goal action!

Key Points:

  • First Vienna haven't won in 5 home games (0W-1D-4L)
  • Rapid Wien II scoring 2.00 goals per game away from home
  • Vienna conceding 2.20 goals per game at home
  • 6 of 8 H2H meetings have gone over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams have 50% BTTS rate in recent matches
  • Only 1 point separates these teams in the league table

The way I see it, Vienna's home form is too poor to back them for the win, and Rapid's away scoring combined with Vienna's defensive issues makes both teams to score look like the smart play. Both sides have been finding the net regularly, and with Vienna's leaky home defense, I'm expecting goals from both teams here!

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.67
+EV
+8.6%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN