First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten Prediction

Must see, you must, the form that First Vienna carry into this fixture. Four wins in their last five matches, a goal in every single one of those games, and only three conceded across the stretch. The 4–0 at Austria Salzburg, the 2–0 at Rapid Wien II, the 3–1 at WSPG Wels — these are not the marks of a team that wavers. In ten matches, they have won seven, scored 2.1 per game, and kept clean sheets in five. The force is there, and it is not a whisper.

SKN ST. Polten, they come with a different story. Three wins, one draw, six losses in their last ten. A goal in eight of those ten, and in five of them, the net stayed silent. Their last two victories — the 2–1 over Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz and the 3–1 at FC Liefering — were marked by red cards, one against FC Liefering in the 21st minute, one against SKN ST. Polten in the 90th. The form is there, but the path was not always clean. Away from home over 20 games, they have lost eight, and their scoring has been modest at 1.6 per game.

The head-to-head at this ground tells its own tale. In February, First Vienna took the 2–1 at their own ground. Before that, the older meetings at this venue — a 2–1 and a 7–3 — both ended in First Vienna's favour. The recent meeting is the one that matters most, and it points the way.

But do not be hasty, young one. First Vienna's last outing, seven days ago, was a 1–2 defeat at Lask Linz. A stumble, yes, but one game does not erase the momentum of four victories. And SKN ST. Polten have won their last two, even if the red cards cast a shadow over the results. The away record of 9 wins in 20 is not nothing.

Yet the numbers do not lie. In the last ten, First Vienna score 2.1 to SKN ST. Polten's 0.8. They concede 1 to 1.3. They keep clean sheets in five of ten to one. They have failed to score in zero of ten to five. The gap is wide, and it is written in the record.

Key Points:

• First Vienna have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 3

• SKN ST. Polten have lost 6 of their last 10, scoring just 0.8 per game

• The recent head-to-head at First Vienna's ground ended 2–1 to the hosts

• First Vienna's last 10 shows 7 wins, 5 clean sheets, and 0 games without a goal

• SKN ST. Polten's last two wins both involved a red card

The force is with the home side, and the numbers agree. First Vienna win, I say.