Flamengo Host Fluminense

Flamengo arrive in strong form, having won four of their last five matches and eight of their last ten across all competitions. At home, their record over the last 20 games is 15 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with an average of 2.15 goals scored per game and just 0.85 conceded. They have failed to score in only one of those 20 home fixtures and kept a clean sheet in eight. The most recent home result was a 2–1 win over RB Bragantino on 20 September, and before that a 2–1 victory over Corinthians on 13 September. Fluminense, by contrast, have a difficult record on the road. Over their last 20 away games, they have won just 3, drawn 10 and lost 7, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. They have failed to score in six of those 20 away matches. Their last five matches produced 3 wins and 2 losses, with the two defeats coming on the road against Atletico-MG (1–3) on 12 September and Platense (1–2) on 15 September. Their most recent match was a 3–1 away win over Corinthians on 20 September, which shows they can find goals on the road. The head-to-head over the last 12 months tells a different story, though all four recent meetings were played at Fluminense's ground. Fluminense won twice (2–1 on 25 January and 2–1 on 20 November 2025), the sides drew once (0–0 on 8 March 2026), and Flamengo won once (2–1 on 12 April 2026). There have been no meetings at Flamengo's ground within the last 12 months; the only one on record at this venue was a 1–0 Flamengo win in July 2025, which falls outside the current form window and is treated as historical record. The strongest case for Flamengo is the home-and-away comparison. Their 2.45 points per game at home sits well above Fluminense's 0.95 away, and their 2.15 goals per game at home compares with Fluminense's 1.1 away. The defensive gap is just as telling: Flamengo concede 0.85 per game at home while Fluminense concede 1.35 per game away. Flamengo have also kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 20 home games, compared to 4 of 20 for Fluminense on the road. The counter-argument is that the head-to-head shows these two sides are closer than the venue records suggest. Fluminense have won two of the last four meetings, and their most recent match was a 3–1 victory. They have also scored in all of their last five matches, which makes a blank sheet from them less likely than their away record might imply. The 0–0 draw in the March meeting at Fluminense's ground also reminds us that low-scoring outcomes are possible between these two. Key Points: - Flamengo have won 15 of their last 20 home games, scoring 2.15 per game and conceding 0.85 - Fluminense have won only 3 of their last 20 away games, with 10 draws and 7 losses - All four recent head-to-head meetings were at Fluminense's ground, where Fluminense won 2 and drew 1 - Flamengo's last five matches: 4 wins, 1 draw; Fluminense's last five: 3 wins, 2 losses - No recent meetings at Flamengo's ground; the last one was a 1–0 Flamengo win in July 2025 The evidence strongly favours Flamengo at home, but the head-to-head at a different venue and Fluminense's recent scoring form make this less of a certainty than the home-and-away records alone would suggest. The available prices could not be used for a recommendation given the risk-reward balance. No Bet.