Fredrikstad vs Tromso Prediction

Fredrikstad host Tromso in the Eliteserien on 11 October 2026, and the evidence points in two very different directions.

The case for Fredrikstad rests on their recent form and home record. Over their last 10 matches, they have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2, averaging 2 points per game and conceding just 1 goal per game. In their last 5, they have scored in every match and kept a clean sheet in 1 of 5. At home across 20 games, Fredrikstad have recorded 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses, conceding 1.1 goals per game — the lower figure of the two sides in the home-versus-away comparison. Their defensive record at home is the stronger of the two records on display, and their 1.5 goals scored per game at home is respectable.

The case for Tromso is written in the head-to-head. In five meetings between these two clubs, Tromso have won three and drawn two, while Fredrikstad have not scored a single goal. The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026 at Tromso's ground, ended 4–0. Tromso's attacking output is also the higher of the two sides in the matchup table, with 2 goals per game away compared to Fredrikstad's 1.5 at home. However, Tromso's away record is volatile: 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in 20 away games, and their last 10 matches show 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Their last two league away games before the cup tie were defeats at Rosenborg (3–5) and Kristiansund BK (0–2).

The head-to-head is mostly historical. The only meeting within the last 12 months was at Tromso's ground, and the older fixtures at Fredrikstad's ground (0–1 and 0–0) date back to 2025 and 2024. That means the 4–0 result from March 2026 is the only recent data point, and it was on Tromso's own ground. No meeting has been played at Fredrikstad's ground in the last 12 months, so the home record for this specific fixture is untested in the current cycle.

Fredrikstad's last 10 games (6W 2D 2L) outperform Tromso's (4W 2D 4L) on points per game and goals conceded, and Fredrikstad have failed to score in only 1 of those 10 while Tromso have failed to score in 4. Tromso's current run of 2 wins (scoring 5, conceding 3) is encouraging, but it includes a cup match and a home game, and their away form across 20 games remains uneven.

Key Points:

• Fredrikstad have scored in all 5 of their recent matches and average 1.1 goals conceded per game at home over 20 games.

• Tromso have won 3 of 5 head-to-head meetings; Fredrikstad have not scored in any of them.

• The only meeting within 12 months was a 4–0 Tromso win at their own ground; no recent meeting has been played at Fredrikstad's ground.

• Tromso's away record is split evenly between wins and losses (9 each in 20 games), with 4 losses in their last 10.

• Fredrikstad's last 10 games (6W 2D 2L) outperform Tromso's (4W 2D 4L) on points and goals conceded.

No Bet.