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Frosinone host Sassuolo on 16 October in Serie A, and the home-and-away records tell a clear story about who holds the advantage at this ground. Frosinone's home record over 20 games is 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 2.05 points per game, 1.95 goals scored per match and just 0.9 conceded. Sassuolo's away record over 20 games is 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses, with 0.9 points per game, 1.15 scored and 1.4 conceded. The gap between these two sets of figures is the single most important fact in this fixture.
Frosinone's recent home form has been solid. Their last three home games produced wins: 2–1 against Benevento on 2 October, 2–0 against Como on 20 September, and 3–2 against Venezia on 6 September. Across their last five matches overall, Frosinone have won three, drawn one and lost one, scoring 8 and conceding 7. The one blemish is the 0–3 defeat at Napoli on 10 October, six days before this fixture, but that was on the road.
Sassuolo, by contrast, have drawn three of their last five matches. They drew 1–1 with AC Milan at home on 11 October, lost 1–2 at Monza on 18 September, and drew 2–2 at Bologna on 6 September. Their only recent win was 3–2 against Juventus at home on 13 September. Over their last five games, Sassuolo have scored 8 and conceded 8, with both teams scoring in all five matches. Their away record of 4 wins from 20 games, with 6 of those 20 ending in a failure to score, paints a picture of a side that struggles on the road.
The head-to-head is largely historical. The only meeting within the last 12 months was a 1–1 draw at Sassuolo's ground in Coppa Italia on 2 September. The older meetings, stretching back to 2023, include wins for both sides and are not a reliable guide to current form. At Frosinone's ground specifically, there have been no meetings in the last 12 months; the older record at this venue is 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2 historical games.
The counter-argument is that Sassuolo have been competitive in recent weeks. The 3–2 win over Juventus and the 1–1 draw with AC Milan show they can handle top opposition, and the fact that both teams scored in all five of their recent matches suggests this could be an open game. Frosinone's 0–3 loss to Napoli six days ago also raises a question about whether their defensive organisation has slipped.
Key Points:
- Frosinone's home record: 12W 5D 3L, 2.05 PPG, 1.95 scored, 0.9 conceded (20 games)
- Sassuolo's away record: 4W 6D 10L, 0.9 PPG, 1.15 scored, 1.4 conceded (20 games)
- Frosinone won their last three home games; Sassuolo have drawn three of their last five
- The only recent head-to-head meeting was a 1–1 draw in Coppa Italia on 2 September
- Both teams scored in all five of Sassuolo's recent matches and 3 of Frosinone's last five
The numbers favour Frosinone at home, but the 0–3 loss to Napoli six days ago and the recent 1–1 draw between these two sides mean I cannot call this a certainty. No Bet.