Fujieda MYFC vs Sagan Tosu Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this J2 League clash between Fujieda MYFC and Sagan Tosu. The lads from Fujieda are struggling down in 15th place with just 38 points, while Tosu are sitting pretty in 8th with 57 points. On paper, it looks like a mismatch, but football's not played on paper, is it?

Fujieda's recent form has been proper dodgy - just 2 wins in their last 10 games, and here's the killer stat: they haven't kept a single clean sheet in their last 10 matches! Not one! They're shipping goals left, right, and centre. But they do score at home, netting 1.6 per game on their own patch. Their recent results show they can compete - they drew 1-1 with JEF United and Ventforet Kofu, but also got hammered 3-1 by Iwaki.

Sagan Tosu, on the other hand, have been decent-ish with 4 wins in their last 10. They're proper attack-minded on their travels, scoring 1.83 goals per away game, but their defence is about as solid as a chocolate teapot - conceding 2.17 per game on the road. Recent results show they're involved in some right barnstormers - losing 3-2 to Vegalta Sendai, winning 3-2 at Ventforet Kofu, and getting turned over 3-1 by bottom-half Kataller Toyama.

When these two met back in April, Tosu nicked it 1-0, but that looks like it might be the exception rather than the rule given how both teams are playing now.

The stats are screaming 'both teams to score' here. Fujieda's zero clean sheets in 10 games tells you everything you need to know about their defence. Tosu score for fun away from home but let just as many in. Both sides have seen both teams score in 70-80% of their recent matches. The goal expectancy suggests we're looking at around 3.3 goals in this one.

With Tosu's away attack averaging nearly 2 goals and Fujieda's home defence letting in 1 per game, plus Fujieda scoring 1.6 at home against Tosu's leaky away defence conceding over 2, this has all the makings of a proper goal-fest.