Fujieda MYFC vs Ventforet Kofu Prediction

Bottom-Of-The-Table Clash: Goals Expected

Preview

Right then, let's fire up the BBQ and look at this J2 League clash between two teams struggling near the bottom. Fujieda MYFC sits 15th with 36 points while Ventforet Kofu are just above them in 13th with 42 points - not exactly title contenders, are they?

Looking at recent form, neither side is setting the world alight. Fujieda have managed just 2 wins in their last 10 games, though they did show some bite with a 2-1 win over Jubilo Iwata and a 4-1 thumping of Ehime FC. But they've also had some shocking results, losing 0-1 at home to rock-bottom Kataller Toyama. Their home form is decent though - 1.80 goals per game at their own patch.

Kofu aren't much better with 3 wins from 10, and that 4-0 hammering by top-side V-varen Nagasaki will still hurt. But they did show some away form with a 3-2 win at Iwaki, which is no mean feat. The problem is they leak goals like a sieve away from home - 2.00 per game!

Now here's where it gets interesting for us punters. These two have faced each other 6 times, and EVERY SINGLE MATCH has gone Over 2.5 goals! Both teams have scored in 5 of those 6 encounters. The last meeting ended 1-2, and before that was a 3-3 thriller.

With Fujieda averaging 1.80 goals at home and Kofu conceding 2.00 on their travels, plus Kofu scoring 1.25 away and Fujieda letting in 1.20 at home, the recipe is there for goals. Both teams need the points and neither can defend properly - perfect for us who love a bit of action!

The goal expectancy sits at 3.13, which tells me we're likely to see plenty of net-bulging. When you combine that with the head-to-head record showing nothing but high-scoring games, this looks like a solid bet.

Match time
Recommended Bet
OVER 2 5
Odds
1.95
+EV
+26.8%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN