Gillingham vs Bromley Prediction

Right then, let's get stuck into this League Two cracker. We've got the league leaders, Bromley, heading down to Gillingham, who are sitting pretty in mid-table but are about as easy to break down as a stale pork pie at times.

The League Table Don't Lie

First things first, Bromley are top for a reason. 28 games, 16 wins, 8 draws, just 4 losses. They're six points clear at the summit and they've been absolutely flying. Gillingham, meanwhile, are 13th but with a couple of games in hand. Their record reads 9 wins, 11 draws, 6 losses – see that? Eleven draws! That tells you everything you need to know. They're the draw specialists of League Two.

Recent Form: Red Hot vs Hard to Beat

Bromley's last ten games? Eight wins, two draws, zero defeats. That's title-winning form, no two ways about it. They've been doing it on the road too, winning 80% of their away games and conceding a miserly 0.60 goals per game on their travels. Recent results include a 3-1 win at Crawley, a 3-2 win at Bristol Rovers, and a solid 2-0 win at Tranmere. They did get held 2-2 by Crewe last time out, but that just shows they're human.

Gillingham? Well, they're the masters of the share of the spoils. Two wins, six draws, two losses in their last ten. They don't lose often, but they don't win much either. At home recently, they've drawn with Colchester and Cambridge United, beaten Newport County 3-2, and drawn with Barrow. They're tough to beat on their own patch, unbeaten in four at home, but they've only kept one clean sheet in that run.

Head-to-Head

History favours the visitors. Bromley have won two of the three meetings, with the other being a 2-2 draw earlier this season. So Gillingham did manage to grab a point off them, which should give them a bit of belief.

Where's the Value?

The bookies have Bromley as slight favourites at 2.40, with the draw at 3.10 and a Gillingham win at 2.80. Now, Bromley are the better side, no question. But 2.40 for an away win at a ground where the home side rarely loses? I'm not sure that's massive value, especially with Gillingham's draw habit.

Let's look at the goals markets. Both teams to score is priced at 1.83 for 'Yes'. Now, that catches my eye. Gillingham have seen both teams score in 60% of their last ten. Bromley have also seen it in 60% of theirs. Gillingham score at home (1.75 per game) but also concede (1.50 per game). Bromley score away (1.80 per game) and are tight at the back, but they've only kept one clean sheet in their last five on the road. The stats, the form, the head-to-head (2-2 last time) – it all points to both nets getting a ripple.

Key Points:

Bromley are top, in superb form (8W, 2D last 10), and are strong away (80% win rate).

Gillingham are the draw kings (6 draws in last 10) and are very tough to beat at home (unbeaten in 4).

Head-to-head favours Bromley (2 wins from 3), but the last meeting was a 2-2 draw.

Goals trend: Both teams have seen BTTS in 60% of their recent matches.

• Betting angle: The straight win markets are tricky. The value looks to be in the goals.

Summary & The Tip

This has all the makings of a proper battle. Bromley will want to flex their muscles and stay top, but Gillingham will dig in and make it horrible for them. I can see Bromley having most of the ball and chances, but Gillingham are likely to get a chance or two themselves, especially at home. I think both teams will find the back of the net. At odds of 1.83, Both Teams to Score - Yes is the smart play here.