Preview
Yoda Mc Yoda FaceThe force is strong with Bodo/Glimt, and it shows in the numbers, young one. Eight wins from their last ten matches, with a 6-2 away demolition of Rana and a 3-1 home victory over Kristiansund BK in the last fortnight. Their away record over 20 games tells the same story: 13 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses, scoring 2.35 goals per game. The head-to-head adds weight to the argument — seven of the last ten meetings have gone to Bodo/Glimt, and the most recent, on 22 July at their own ground, ended 3-0. That is a history, young one, not a present truth — the only meeting within the last year was that 3-0.
Ham-Kam, however, are not without a spark. Their 4-2 away win at Start on 11 October shows they can score, and their home record over 20 games is respectable: 12 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses, with 8 clean sheets and only 1 game where they failed to score. But the recent form gives pause. Three losses in five matches, including a 1-5 defeat to Molde at home on 13 September and a 0-4 loss to Rosenborg on 5 September, suggest the defence is leaking. They conceded 14 goals in those five games, at 2.8 per game. The wise one knows that a home record built over 13 months is not the same as the last five matches.
The counter-argument, if you will, is that Ham-Kam's home record is solid and they did find the net in their last outing. A 4-2 scoreline at Start six days ago shows the attack is alive. And the head-to-head at Ham-Kam's ground, while mostly historical, includes a 1-0 Ham-Kam victory on 20 May 2024. But those older meetings are dated — the 3-0 Bodo/Glimt win in July 2026 is the only recent meeting at either venue, and the head-to-head stretches back four years. Do not mistake a ghost for a living thing.
Now, where the numbers truly sing is in the goal count. Bodo/Glimt have gone over 2.5 goals in all ten of their last matches and in 17 of their last 20 away games. Ham-Kam have seen over 2.5 in 14 of their 20 home games and 4 of their last 5. The head-to-head has produced over 2.5 in 7 of 10 meetings. Bodo/Glimt are scoring 3.0 goals per game in their last ten, and their xG in the two games with data shows 3.42 per game. The combined goal output points firmly to a high-scoring affair. I have seen many a match where the bookmakers whisper, but the goals shout.
Key Points:
- Bodo/Glimt: 8W 0D 2L in last 10; 13W 3D 4L in 20 away games
- Over 2.5 in 10 of Bodo/Glimt's last 10 and 17 of their last 20 away; 14 of Ham-Kam's 20 home
- H2H: 7 Bodo/Glimt wins from 10 meetings; most recent 3-0 on 22 July 2026
- Ham-Kam: 3 losses in last 5, including 1-5 at home to Molde; 4-2 win at Start on 11 October
- Bodo/Glimt scoring 3.0 goals per game in last 10; Ham-Kam conceding 2.8 per game in last 5
The wise choice, I tell you, is to trust the goals. Over 2.5 goals, at 1.3, is where the evidence sings loudest.