Ham-Kam Host Bodo/Glimt in Eliteserien Clash

There's something endearing about a team like Ham-Kam stepping onto their own patch and knowing the odds are stacked against them. The little puppies of the Eliteserien, if you will, are about to welcome Bodo/Glimt to their ground on 17 October, and I have to say my heart is with them even if my head knows the numbers don't quite line up for a bet. Ham-Kam's home record over the last 20 games tells a story of a team that can compete: 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses, averaging 1.9 points per game and scoring 2.0 per match while conceding just 1.4. That's a solid foundation. And their most recent outing, a 4–2 victory away at Start on 11 October, showed they can put goals on the board and play with confidence. They've won their last game, and that spark matters when you're the underdog. Their home record also shows they failed to score in only 1 of those 20 games, so the little puppies do find the net when it counts. But here's the honest truth, and I'd be doing you a disservice to sugarcoat it. Bodo/Glimt are in genuine flying form. Their last 10 games across all venues have produced 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 3.0 goals scored per game and just 1.6 conceded. Their away record over 20 games is 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, averaging 2.35 goals per game. They've won their last two matches, scoring 9 and conceding just 3. The head-to-head adds another layer of discomfort for Ham-Kam: Bodo/Glimt won 3–0 at their own ground in July, and across 10 meetings dating back to 2022, Bodo/Glimt have won 7, drawn 2 and lost just 1, with Ham-Kam scoring 0.8 per game and conceding 2.5. The older meetings dilute current form, but the pattern is hard to ignore. The counter-argument for Ham-Kam is that their home record is respectable and that Bodo/Glimt's recent away form, while strong, includes a 1–2 loss at Brann on 20 September and a 0–5 defeat at Bayern München in the Champions League on 10 September. Not every away game goes the same way. And Ham-Kam's 4–2 win at Start showed they can score in bunches. Their home record also shows 14 of 20 games went over 2.5 goals, so this fixture has the ingredients for goals. But the weight of evidence — Bodo/Glimt's 8 wins in 10, their 10 consecutive games over 2.5 goals, and the head-to-head history — makes it very hard to find value on the underdog side at the prices available. Key Points: - Ham-Kam's home record: 12W 2D 6L in 20 games, 1.9 ppg, 2.0 scored per game, 1.4 conceded per game - Bodo/Glimt's last 10: 8W 0D 2L, 3.0 scored per game, 1.6 conceded per game - Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt won 7 of 10 meetings, including a 3–0 in July 2026 - Bodo/Glimt have gone over 2.5 goals in all 10 of their last 10 games - Ham-Kam's last home game was a 1–5 loss to Molde on 13 September The available prices on the underdog side simply don't offer enough value to justify a recommendation, so this one is a no bet.