Hampton & Richmond vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction

Hampton & Richmond host Ebbsfleet United at their ground on 10 October in the National League South, and the form gap between the two sides is the first thing that catches the eye. Ebbsfleet United arrive with three wins from their last five matches — a 1–0 home win over Folkestone Invicta on 6 October, a 2–1 away win at Tonbridge Angels on 26 September, and a 3–1 away win at Maidenhead on 19 September — alongside a 1–1 draw at Slough Town and a 1–2 FA Cup loss to Sholing. Over their last ten games across all venues, Ebbsfleet United have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses for 1.8 points per game, scoring 15 and conceding just 10. Their away record over 20 games stands at 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses, with 1.7 goals scored per game.

Hampton & Richmond, by contrast, have lost their last two matches — 0–1 at Dagenham & Redbridge and 1–3 at Crowborough Athletic in the FA Cup — and sit at 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from their last ten games, 0.9 points per game. They have conceded 22 in those ten matches at 2.2 per game. At home over 20 games, Hampton & Richmond have won 8, drawn 5 and lost 7, scoring 1.45 per game and conceding 1.5. Their most recent home results include a 3–3 FA Cup draw with Crowborough Athletic, a 1–1 with Chelmsford City, and a 2–0 win over Farnborough in which Farnborough received a red card in the 28th minute.

The head-to-head tells a story that leans toward Ebbsfleet United. The only meeting within the last 12 months was on 18 April 2026 at Ebbsfleet United's ground, which ended 4–0 to Ebbsfleet United. At Hampton & Richmond's ground, the record from older meetings is mixed: Hampton & Richmond won 3–2 in August 2025, and Ebbsfleet United won 1–2 in November 2022. Across all nine meetings spanning five years, Ebbsfleet United have won six, Hampton & Richmond three, with no draws. The full head-to-head aggregate shows 7 of 9 meetings produced over 2.5 goals.

The counter-argument for Hampton & Richmond is their home record. Eight wins from 20 home games is a respectable base, and they have kept six clean sheets at home. The 4–0 defeat came at Ebbsfleet United's ground, not here, and the historical meetings at Hampton & Richmond's ground show the hosts can compete. Ebbsfleet United's away record, while solid, still includes 7 losses from 20 games, and they have only kept one clean sheet on the road in that span.

Key Points:

• Ebbsfleet United are 5W 3D 2L in their last 10 games (1.8 ppg) while Hampton & Richmond are 2W 3D 5L (0.9 ppg)

• The only recent head-to-head meeting (April 2026) ended 4–0 to Ebbsfleet United at their ground

• Hampton & Richmond have lost their last two matches and conceded 4 goals in them

• Hampton & Richmond's home record over 20 games is 8W 5D 7L with 1.45 goals scored per game

• Ebbsfleet United's away record over 20 games is 9W 4D 7L with 1.7 goals scored per game

The evidence points firmly toward Ebbsfleet United as the stronger side on form, but the price of 1.67 for an away win implies a 59.88% chance, and my own reading of the football — factoring in Hampton & Richmond's home record and the mixed historical meetings at this venue — places Ebbsfleet's probability of winning closer to the mid-50s. That is not a certainty, and I will not stake on anything that is not. No Bet.