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The most striking fact heading into this Super League fixture is Henan Jianye's unbroken run of five draws. Since 23 August, the home side have finished level in every match — a 4–4 with Shenyang Urban, a 1–1 with Chongqing Tongliang Long, a 0–0 with Chengdu Better City, a 1–1 with Wuhan Three Towns, and a 2–2 with Sichuan Jiuniu. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 across those five games, and not once have they taken all three points. Their home record over 20 games (8W 8D 4L, 1.6 points per game, 1.6 goals scored per game) suggests they are capable of winning at home, but the current trajectory tells a very different story.
Tianjin Teda arrive in markedly different shape. Their last three matches have all been wins — a 1–0 away at Chengdu Better City, a 1–0 home against Shenyang Urban, and a 2–1 home against Hangzhou Greentown — and across their last 10 games they have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2, averaging 2.0 points per game. Their defensive record in that stretch is particularly tight: 10 goals conceded in 10 games, with 5 clean sheets. However, their away record over 20 games is less encouraging: 5W 7D 8L, 1.1 points per game, and 1.2 goals conceded per game. The gap between their recent form and their longer away record is the central tension of this fixture.
The head-to-head at this venue is thin on recent evidence. The only meeting within the last 12 months was at Tianjin Teda's ground in May 2026, which Henan Jianye won 2–1. At Henan Jianye's ground, the two most recent meetings are both historical (2025 and 2024), and in both cases Tianjin Teda won. The full 21-meeting aggregate is dominated by Tianjin Teda (11 wins to 3), but those figures stretch back a decade and do not reflect current form. With no recent meeting at this venue, the head-to-head offers little guidance.
The strongest counter-argument to a Henan Jianye win is simply their inability to win in five consecutive matches. Even at home, where they have won 8 of 20, the current trajectory is flat. Conversely, the strongest counter-argument to a Tianjin Teda win is their poor away record over 20 games and the fact that the only recent head-to-head meeting saw them lose. Both teams' last 5 games have been low-scoring: Henan Jianye went under 2.5 in 3 of 5, Tianjin Teda in 4 of 5, and both sides' 20-game venue records lean heavily toward under 2.5 (12 of 20 at home for Henan Jianye, 14 of 20 away for Tianjin Teda).
Key Points:
- Henan Jianye have drawn all of their last 5 matches (scored 8, conceded 8) and have not won in that stretch.
- Tianjin Teda have won their last 3 matches and 6 of their last 10, but their 20-game away record is 5W 7D 8L.
- No head-to-head meeting has been played at Henan Jianye's ground within the last 12 months; the two most recent meetings there are historical and both ended in Tianjin Teda wins.
- Both teams' last 5 games have been low-scoring, with 3 of 5 under 2.5 for Henan Jianye and 4 of 5 for Tianjin Teda.
- The matchup comparison shows Henan Jianye scoring 1.6 per game at home versus Tianjin Teda's 1.05 per game away, but Henan Jianye's current form is all draws.
No Bet. The evidence points in multiple directions, and no single outcome carries the level of certainty required to place a recommendation.