Hibernian vs Celtic Prediction

Hibs Home Fortress vs Celtic's Away Woes

Preview

Alright boet, let's break down this Scottish Premiership clash! Celtic might be sitting pretty in 2nd place, but their away form is more shocking than finding vegetables on your braai! Only 20% win rate on the road and scoring just 0.6 goals per away game? That's weaker than a warm beer!

Hibernian have been solid at home this season - 66.67% win rate and only conceding 0.33 goals per game at their own patch. They kept a clean sheet against Celtic back in September with that 0-0 draw, and they've beaten decent sides like ST Mirren 3-0 on their travels.

Looking at recent results, Celtic's away form is proper k*k. Lost 2-0 at Dundee, got hammered 3-1 by Hearts, and could only manage 1-0 win at struggling ST Mirren. Their shot accuracy away from home is just 27.6% - they couldn't hit a cow's backside with a banjo!

Hibs have been decent at home, scoring 2 goals per game and keeping it tight at the back. They did lose 2-0 to Motherwell last time out, but Motherwell have been in good form (1.70 PPG).

The head-to-head shows Celtic usually dominate, but that recent 0-0 draw proves Hibs can frustrate them. With Celtic's attacking struggles on the road and Hibs' defensive solidity at home, this looks like another tight affair.

Key Points:

• Celtic's away form is terrible - 20% win rate, 0.6 goals per game

• Hibs strong at home - 66.67% win rate, only 0.33 goals conceded per game

• Last meeting ended 0-0, showing Hibs can contain Celtic

• Celtic's away shot accuracy is just 27.6%

• Goal expectancy suggests low-scoring game (Home 1.80, Away 0.47)

I'm backing Under 2.5 goals here. Celtic can't score away from home and Hibs are tight at the back. This has all the makings of another tight, low-scoring Scottish derby. The odds of 2.30 look like good value for a proper braai-side punt!

Match time
Recommended Bet
UNDER 2 5
Odds
2.30
+EV
+49.5%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN