Hillerød vs FC Fredericia Prediction

Hillerød and FC Fredericia meet at Hillerød's ground on 10 October in the 1. Division, and the evidence points to a tight, low-scoring affair where neither side holds a commanding edge.

The strongest case in this fixture belongs to FC Fredericia. Their record on the road over 20 away games tells a story of consistency: 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses for 1.65 points per game, with 1.65 goals scored per outing. By comparison, Hillerød at home over 20 games has managed 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses for 1.4 points per game and 1.25 goals scored. FC Fredericia's defensive record on the road is also telling — they have kept 6 clean sheets in those 20 away games and conceded just 1.25 per game, while Hillerød at home has conceded 1.25 per game with only 5 clean sheets. In their last 10 matches across all venues, FC Fredericia have conceded 0.8 per game and kept 5 clean sheets, whereas Hillerød have conceded 1.1 per game and kept 3. The defensive edge is clear.

However, the counter-argument is substantial. Hillerød have not lost in their last five matches — two wins and three draws — and have scored in every single one of those games. Their points per game over that stretch is 1.8, which is the highest of any team in this fixture. FC Fredericia, by contrast, have won just one of their last five (1W 2D 2L) and sit at 1.0 points per game. The head-to-head is dated: the most recent meeting between these two sides was on 7 March 2025, 19 months before this kickoff, and all five recorded meetings are historical. There is no current-form head-to-head to lean on. Both teams have also been drawing with some regularity — Hillerød's last game was a 1–1 at Kolding IF, and FC Fredericia have drawn their last two matches, including a 2–2 at home against Vejle.

The goal market is split. Hillerød's last five matches have seen under 2.5 goals in four of five, and their home record shows 12 of 20 games finishing under 2.5. FC Fredericia's away record, however, has 13 of 20 games going over 2.5, and their last five matches have seen over 2.5 in three of five. Both teams to score is a live question: Hillerød have had both teams score in 4 of their last 5, and their home record shows 13 of 20 BTTS yes, while FC Fredericia's away record shows 11 of 20 BTTS yes. Yet FC Fredericia's defensive strength — 5 clean sheets in 10 games, 0.8 conceded per game — suggests they can shut a side down.

Key Points:

• FC Fredericia's away record (9W 6D 5L, 1.65 ppg) outperforms Hillerød's home record (7W 7D 6L, 1.4 ppg)

• Hillerød are unbeaten in their last five matches and have scored in all five

• FC Fredericia's defence has conceded 0.8 per game in their last 10, with 5 clean sheets

• The head-to-head is 19 months old; no meetings within the last 12 months

• Both teams have drawn their most recent matches, pointing to a tight result

The football here is genuinely close. FC Fredericia are the stronger side on the numbers, but Hillerød's recent unbeaten run and consistent scoring make this far from a certainty. I cannot find an outcome I rate above the level I need to feel comfortable recommending, and the available prices do not offer the margin I require for a confident pick. This is a No Bet.