Everton's Strong Run Meets a Struggling Hull City

Everton arrive at Hull City's ground carrying the most convincing recent form in this fixture. Their last five matches produced two wins and three draws with no defeat, and their current run is two consecutive victories in which they scored two goals and conceded nothing. Over their last ten games, Everton have won five, drawn four and lost just once, averaging 1.9 points per game and 1.6 goals per game. That is a side that is clicking and showing no sign of fatigue. Hull City, by contrast, are in a difficult patch. Their last five matches yielded one win, two draws and two losses, with 1.0 points per game and just 0.8 goals scored per game. Their most recent result was a 1–2 defeat at Newcastle on 19 September, and before that they were held to a 0–0 draw at home by Aston Villa on 5 September. Their current run is a single loss. Over ten games, Hull City have won only twice, drawn five and lost three, scoring 0.8 per game and conceding 0.9. The gap in recent output is stark. The venue records tell a more balanced story. Over 20 home games, Hull City have won 8, drawn 7 and lost 5, scoring 1.1 per game and conceding 1.0, with 10 clean sheets. Everton's 20 away games mirror that record almost exactly: 8 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses, 1.45 goals scored per game and 1.0 conceded. The matchup table shows both sides on 1.55 points per game in their respective grounds, and neither side holds a clear edge on the wider venue splits. The head-to-head, however, offers no current guidance. There have been no meetings between these two sides within the last 12 months. The five most recent encounters date back to 2022 and earlier, spanning eight years, and those older games dilute any reading of current form. At Hull City's ground in those historical meetings, the host won once and drew twice. I will not treat those results as an edge. The counter-argument for Hull City is their home solidity. Ten clean sheets in 20 home games is a respectable record, and the 0–0 draw with Aston Villa on 5 September showed they can shut a match down. Everton's away record, while solid, includes six games in which they failed to score, and their xG against figure of 1.62 per game over three recent matches suggests they are not impervious on the road. Hull City's xG against was 1.55 per game over two matches, yet they kept a clean sheet in both, which is a small but meaningful sign of defensive organisation. Key Points: - Everton are unbeaten in five, with a two-game winning run and no goals conceded in those two wins. - Hull City lost their last match and scored just four goals in their last five games. - The head-to-head is entirely historical, with no meetings in the last 12 months. - Both teams' venue records are nearly identical: 8W 7D 5L over 20 games each. - Everton's last-10 form (5W 4D 1L) is markedly stronger than Hull City's (2W 5D 3L). The football evidence points firmly to Everton as the stronger side in this fixture, and my own assessment of their chance to win is well above the threshold I demand before I put money down. However, the available prices could not be used for a recommendation. No Bet.