Hull City vs Everton: Tigers Host Toffees in a Tight Premier League Affair
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Hull City welcome Everton to their ground on 11 October for a Premier League encounter that pits a struggling host against a confident visitor. I always love a fixture where the little guy gets a shot at the big dogs, and the Tigers certainly have a home record that gives them a fighting chance here.
Everton's recent numbers tell a compelling story, and I'll be honest — they look the stronger side by the numbers. Their last five matches produced two wins and three draws with no defeats, and their current run sees them winning their last two games, scoring two and conceding nothing. Over their latest ten games across all venues, Everton have recorded five wins, four draws and just one loss, averaging 1.9 points per game and 1.6 goals per game. Their away record over 20 games sits at 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses, with 1.45 goals scored per outing. In their last five matches, they have kept clean sheets in three of five and failed to score in only one. The visitors are clearly in a positive rhythm, and that's a tough one to shake.
But here's where I start rooting for the Tigers. Hull City's home record over 20 games is 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses, averaging 1.55 points per game. They have kept clean sheets in 10 of those 20 home matches and scored in 12 of 20. Their home scoring average is 1.1 per game, and they have conceded just 1.0 per game at home. The head-to-head at this venue, though historical, shows Hull City unbeaten in three meetings at their ground (one win, two draws). That said, the most recent meeting between these two sides dates back to January 2022, so the head-to-head is dated and offers limited guidance on current form.
The concern for Hull City is their recent form. Their last five matches yielded one win, two draws and two losses, including a 0–0 draw at home against Aston Villa on 5 September and a 1–2 defeat at Newcastle on 19 September. Their current run is a loss, and over their latest ten games they have scored just 0.8 per game while conceding 0.9. Everton, by contrast, have scored 1.6 per game in their last ten and conceded 0.8. The gap in recent output is real, and it's hard to ignore.
Key Points:
- Everton are unbeaten in their last five matches and have won their last two, scoring 2 and conceding 0.
- Hull City's home record over 20 games is 8W 7D 5L with 10 clean sheets, but recent form is poor (1W 2D 2L in last 5).
- The head-to-head is entirely historical, with the most recent meeting in January 2022.
- Everton's latest 10 shows 5W 4D 1L with 1.6 goals per game; Hull City's latest 10 shows 2W 5D 3L with 0.8 goals per game.
- Both teams' home/away records over 20 games are identical at 8W 7D 5L, but Everton score more away (1.45) than Hull City score at home (1.1).
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