Preview
The Big "O"Look, I'll be upfront with you — I'm The Big O, and I live for the goals. Nil-nil? Give me a break. And when I look at Huracan hosting Gimnasia L.P. on 15 October in the Liga Profesional Argentina, my eyes light up for one reason: the net is about to shake.
Here's the case that has me grinning. Gimnasia L.P. have scored in every single one of their last five matches, and both teams have found the net in all five. That's not a coincidence — that's a pattern. Their away record over the last 20 games tells the same story: 11 of 20 meetings have seen both sides cross the line. Stretch that out to their last 10 games across all grounds and it's 8 of 10. The head-to-head, while mostly historical, backs it up: 8 of 18 meetings between these two have produced both teams scoring. Huracan aren't the quiet ones either. At home over 20 games, both teams have scored in 8 of 20. In their last five matches, both sides have found the net in 3 of 5. They beat Racing Club 2-1 at home on 14 September and came away with a 2-1 win at River Plate on 19 September. Goals are in the mix.
Now, the counter-argument, because I'm not a fool. Huracan's home record over 20 games has only 7 of 20 going over 2.5 goals, and their last 10 games have seen just 2 of 10 cross that line. Their most recent outing was a 0-2 loss at Barracas Central on 10 October, and their home win over Aldosivi on 4 October was a tight 1-0. Gimnasia's last four games have all been draws — 1-1 at Independ. Rivadavia, 2-2 at home to Banfield, 1-1 at Argentinos JRS, and 1-1 at home to Atletico Tucuman. Three of those four finished 1-1. And there's no recent meeting at Huracan's ground in the last 12 months, so the head-to-head at this venue is thin.
But here's the thing — Gimnasia's scoring form is relentless. They've failed to score in 0 of their last 5 games. Huracan have failed to score in 1 of 5. The xG numbers back it up too: Gimnasia are averaging 1.27 xG for across 6 recent games, while Huracan are averaging 1.21 xG against. That's a lot of chances coming at both boxes.
Key Points:
- Gimnasia L.P. have both teams scoring in 5 of their last 5 matches and 8 of their last 10
- Huracan's home record over 20 games: both teams score in 8 of 20
- Head-to-head: 8 of 18 meetings have seen both sides find the net
- Gimnasia's away record: 11 of 20 with both teams scoring
- Huracan's last 5: both teams scored in 3 of 5
So here's my call. I'm going with both teams to score. Gimnasia's recent form is a goal machine, Huracan's home record supports it, and the head-to-head history agrees. The Big O is on the side of the beautiful game — and this one's got goals in it. Both teams to score at 2.06 is my pick.