Preview
Mr SimpleRight, so we've got the New York derby on the cards — Inter Miami hosting New York City FC at their home ground on 14 October. And if you've been following the form, this one's got a nice angle for the both-teams-to-score market.
Let's start with the hosts. Inter Miami kicked off their last game four days ago with a thumping 4–0 over DC United at home, and that's one of two wins in their last five — the other being a 2–0 over Cruz Azul, with two draws (2–2 with San Diego and 2–2 with Nashville) and a 1–2 loss at Columbus Crew. But here's the thing: in those five games, Inter Miami scored in every single one. Zero games without a goal. And if you look at their home record over 20 games, they've scored in all 20 of those. That's 2.6 goals a game at home, and in 17 of those 20, both teams found the net.
Now the visitors. New York City FC are in a bit of a muddle. Their last five is 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses — they lost 1–2 at Chicago Fire just four days ago, drew 2–2 at Atlanta, and lost 0–1 at home to the Red Bulls. But even in that rough stretch, they've scored in four of those five. Over 20 away games, they've failed to score in just four, and in 14 of those 20, both teams got on the scoresheet.
The head-to-head tells a clear story for the recent meetings. In the last 12 months, Inter Miami have won both fixtures — 5–1 at home in November 2025 and 3–2 at NYCFC's ground in March 2026. Both games had both teams scoring. The older meetings go back further and are more mixed, but the current form is what matters here.
The counter-argument? Inter Miami's home record is 8 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses in 20 games. That's a lot of draws, and two of their last five were 2–2. NYCFC's away record is 6 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses — they're not exactly a force on the road. And Inter Miami's xG against is 1.28 per game over their last five with data, which means their defence isn't bulletproof. There's a real chance one of these teams goes quiet for 90 minutes.
But the numbers keep pointing the same way. Inter Miami have scored in 10 straight games. NYCFC have scored in 8 of their last 10. The last two meetings between these sides both had both teams on the board. At 1.44, the market is pricing this at about 69% — I'd put my own estimate a touch higher, around 74%, which gives you a bit of value on the price.
Key Points:
- Inter Miami have scored in all 5 of their last games and all 20 of their last home games
- New York City FC have scored in 4 of their last 5 and 8 of their last 10
- Both recent head-to-head meetings (5–1 and 3–2) saw both teams score
- Inter Miami's home record: 17 of 20 games had both teams scoring
- NYCFC's away record: 14 of 20 games had both teams scoring
My pick: both teams to score at 1.44.