Preview
Look, I'm gonna be honest with you – this one's got me reaching for the cold one before the match even kicks off. Scafatese travel to Inter U23's ground on 27 October, and the numbers on the road are simply too good to ignore.
Scafatese have won 12 of their last 20 away games, drawing 6 and losing just 2. They score 2.2 goals per game on the road and concede 1.05. That is a team that goes out there and gets the job done, man. And their last five matches across all grounds? Three wins and two draws, no defeats. They beat Barletta 1–0 at home on 24 October, held Salernitana to a 2–2 draw on 17 October, and beat Sorrento 3–2 on 11 October. The form is there, the confidence is there, and the away record says they don't care whose ground they're on.
Now look at Inter U23 at home. Twenty games on their own patch and they've won 3, drawn 7 and lost 10. They score 0.9 per game at home and concede 1.3. Eight of those 20 home games ended with them failing to score at all. Their last three home fixtures tell the story: a 1–1 draw with Sorrento on 24 October, a 2–4 loss to Monopoli on 17 October, and a 3–2 win over Foggia on 20 September. One of the last three home games has gone the wrong way, and the points per game at home is 0.8. That's not a team that's comfortable on their own turf.
The counter-argument, and I'll give it fair play: Inter U23 have scored in all of their last five matches, and that 3–2 win over Foggia at home showed they can put goals on the board. Scafatese's last two away trips ended in draws – 2–2 at Salernitana and 1–1 at Cosenza – so they haven't exactly been rolling away teams over recently. And there's no head-to-head on record, so we're flying a bit blind on how these two actually match up in a real game. But the aggregate away record of 12 wins in 20 is hard to argue with, and Inter U23's home record of 3 wins in 20 is hard to defend.
Key Points:
- Scafatese have won 12 of their last 20 away games, scoring 2.2 per game and conceding 1.05
- Inter U23 have won just 3 of their last 20 home games, scoring 0.9 per game and conceding 1.3
- Scafatese are unbeaten in their last five matches (3W 2D 0L)
- Inter U23 have lost 1 of their last 3 home games
- No head-to-head meetings on record
My pick: Scafatese away win at 3.16. The road record is too strong, the home record is too weak, and the recent form backs it up. Grab your beer, mate – this one's got a smell of a win for the visitors.
